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Archive for April, 2014
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The Week Email Broke

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April 30, 2014

The Week Email Broke

In the past few days I have been putting out technical fires almost non stop on several ends, most of them related to email delivery to my subscribers as well as folks on my respective mailing lists. It all started early this week, a few days after Yahoo changed its DMARC policy to stop fraudulent emails. In response many email receivers started bouncing emails with Yahoo.com from addresses sent from non-Yahoo servers. Then a week ago AOL announced the same change to its DMARC policy and I expect to see similar chaos across mailing lists and various email service providers.

What this has meant on my end specifically is that a ton of email addresses started bouncing and [...]

656
 

Everything But The Kitchen Sink

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April 29, 2014

Everything But The Kitchen Sink

Someone reminded me about the impending FOMC day yesterday and the tape is certainly acting accordingly – I wouldn’t expect much in terms of resolution today. I took a peek at tomorrow’s event list and frankly my jaw dropped as they’re literally throwing in everything but the kitchen sink:

I’ve highlighted all high risk events on the list. We’ve got the BOJ press conference at night – you probably won’t feel that unless you’re in a Yen trade. Then the Germans are reporting on unemployment – I’d assume that would always be zero – don’t ALL Germans work? Followed by the Euro zone CPI also [...]

2956
 

Homey Don’t Play Dat

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April 29, 2014

Homey Don’t Play Dat

I am running in circles this morning and only have a few minutes to spare. But as usual it’s not the volume of the content, it’s the quality. Let me demonstrate – two charts are worth highlighting this morning:

One is our short term correlation between the GBPJPY and the spoos. Although I was mired in fixing technical issues yesterday I made sure that you guys were aware of the little bear trap that was being set on the equity side. That’s right – Homey Don’t Play Dat!

And if you were a Zero sub then the signal near the bottom was pretty pronounced. Once again the bears have failed to pull the tape below critical [...]

2031
 

Don’t Get Too Comfortable

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April 28, 2014

Don’t Get Too Comfortable

For the past two months we have been gyrating within a sideways range with its center roughly near ES 1850, take or give a few handles. This is also where we see peak accumulation in the E-Mini’s volume profile. And it is also where we now find the 25-day SMA currently offering soft support.

If you ask me where we’ll swing next then I would have to disappoint – nobody really knows and I’m rather intent on remaining objective here and not to fall prey to any directional bias. What I can tell you however is this – do not get too comfortable. There are various ways to interpret the recent formation – some would call it a sideways churn [...]

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