I’m having way too much fun this morning, which accounts for my somewhat belated post. There literally seem to be juicy setups crawling out of the woodwork and I just kept adding new ones while reducing exposure on others in order to reduce correlation risk. So without further ado let’s jump right in:
Santa apparently came early this year and he’s ready to play! I hope you haven’t been naughty and stuck with our script or he may be paying you a special reeducation visit. Alright we’ve got setups setups setups! Equities seem to have held up well overnight and we seem to be on course for a continued squeeze higher.
The only fly in my ointment was the rather marginal Zero signal post FOMC announcement. Clearly very few players were participating ahead of time but I would have expected a bit more juice there an hour or so after the verdict. But let’s not jump to conclusions just yet – we’ll be monitoring the situation today and [...]
I just parsed through my universe of charts and what hasn’t blasted off already is running in circles. Not the type of tape I would want to touch with a ten foot pole. On the equities side there is really nothing to add that hasn’t been said already. My small short was taken out at break/even and I’m staying out of this turd of a tape until we see some real context. Remember my Epiphany post – that general assessment stands now more than ever.
Two GBP setups before I call it a week. GBP/CHF seems like a good long here but I’m only playing 1/4R with a stop half a mile away. On the daily we have been testing the 100-day SMA and thus far [...]
I’m going to keep it super simple today. Over the past few months we have observed increasing evidence of two medium trend shifts – a swing down on the equities and a push up on the bond side. My simple modus operandi going forward is to wait for short term trend trading opportunities in order to be positioned if/once we finally see acceleration. Yeah, I know – hopefully sometime this year – it’s been painful.
Bonds have been on a strong trajectory higher but have pulled back a little over the past few sessions. From here we either revisit the 100-day SMA or we proceed higher in the near term future. I’m currently long the ZB but [...]