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The Long Con

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September 11, 2014

The Long Con

As you can imagine I wanted to wait out Draghi’s announcement before putting up a post but that didn’t leave me with much time before the bell. So here we go in no particular order:

Equities still in whipsaw mode but I’m actually starting to give the bears more credence here. Neither side has been able to make much of a dent but let’s not forget that 1) the onus is on the bulls to continue the trend and 2) there are really no bears left. In a late bull trend downside corrections are usually generated by a lack of bulls as opposed to being caused by strong selling pressure. Which is why we have seen the tape plot extended tops followed by a quick [...]

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Volatility Cycles

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June 23, 2014

Volatility Cycles

Some of you eager beavers have to start wrapping your mind around the concept of markets moving in volatility cycles. Just like it is a common observation in natural systems (i.e. water, sound, electromagnetic) imagine a sinusoid wave that oscillates in repeating cycles. A few days ago I wrote an indicator that visualizes the idea very nicely – I call it ATRIP as it’s a hacked version of average true range:

What is important to understand is that these cycles are a natural aspect of all basic market types – bull, bear, and even sideways. In sideways markets they allow us to scalp or swing trade – an apt definition of the activity obviously. In [...]

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Scaring The Children

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June 17, 2014

Scaring The Children

Some of you guys have to start paying attention as the comment section is starting to resemble the Slope. Meanwhile I see very little activity on the trading front despite an avalanche of setups I selflessly scraped together despite an ongoing world cup game with Germany in the lead. So since nobody seems to be interested in trading let’s revisit some of yesterday’s victims to give you a rough idea of what you’ve been missing out on:

If against all odds you did pay attention – if just momentarily – then you remember that I predicted at least one attempt to scare the children – well, so far we got three. All of them have been [...]

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Way Too Many Setups!

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June 16, 2014

Way Too Many Setups!

That’s right – you read that right. Way too many setups today! Germany is leading Portugal 4:0 right now and I would rather be watching the game right now. Sometimes I myself cannot fathom the sacrifices I’m willing to make for you guys. In case you have no idea what I’m talking about – you must be either American or living in a cave. Just so happens the rest of the world is watching the world cup (football) right now – call your Latino friend if you have one, he’ll explain it to you.

So let’s get to it – we have a ton of charts to chew through:

The spoos are attempting a run after scaring the children one [...]

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