Thursday Morning Briefing

Welcome to our morning briefing. Here we are reviewing short term setups ahead of the NYSE opening bell. If you are a scalper or swing trader then these setups may be of interest to you. As usual keep in mind that these are short term setups although they could be used as early entries for more longer term positions.

Our NQ campaign on the daily was stopped out overnight as our 1R stop was touched. But things are looking interesting on the short term panel:

It’s testing the 25-hour again which as of late has provided support. I would be long again above that previously breached NLSL – trigger above 3,599.5. Put your stop a healthy distance below that 25-hour SMA.

Crude also looking good near dual support – I want to be long here and my stop is below 103.25.

More below the fold for my intrepid subs:


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Cheers,

Setup Bonanza!

Interesting turn of events this morning – although my growing cautiousness concerning the equities (long) side has thus far paid off I’m not yet convinced that we’re heading into another correction. Be this as it may, I did get positioned nicely courtesy of the TF this morning and I intend to hold this position for now or until stopped out at break/even:

Although there was a quick fake out toward the NLBL my stop was well placed and thus far I’ve racked up almost two R. Which is nice but not really what I’m interested in – I’m turning this into a lottery ticket to the downside given what I’m seeing on the short term momo side:

VIX:VXO (which I showed to the subs yesterday) continues to point downward. Again, it could be a fluke or a bear trap but I already earned my entry and I’m sitting pretty right now.

Out of fairness I should however show you guys the Zero Lite which is rather flat today. So not much participation on the downside here and I give this 40% chance to continue lower. I don’t see a long entry here right now either unfortunately – once I do I’ll let you guys know.

Update on the Dollar entry which I hope some of you guys grabbed yesterday. The right panel shows us at the 2R threshold and that means we are either moving our stop up if we close above it or close our position if we close below it. That is via the CrazyIvan campaign rules. If I would employ Heisenberg then I would have taken partial profits a bit above 1R and moved my stop to b/e. So I leave this in your capable hands – it’s possible that the Dollar is going to enjoy a run higher. But heck – it’s the Dollar right? So I’ll stick with CI rules on this one ;-)

So many awesome setups today – here’s crude gracing us with a very interesting configuration I tried to explain on the chart. Could swing either way and we are near the $100 mark – will definitely take whatever trigger this throws at me.

And I cannot believe I’m actually giving this one away for free as it’s my favorite. I have already gone long via this morning’s short term entry near 104. My stop is at today’s lows and all that ties very nicely into the IP and RTV-L that any of you leeches may grab later tonight. Absolutely love this setup and I think it’s coiled up and ready to snap.

More goodies below the fold – it’s a veritable futures bonanza today – seems Hoss is getting all excited. Please grab your secret decoder rings and join me in my freshly painted spring lair:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

Cheers,

Dude Where’s My Moto?

As some of you already know I started the day dealing with a family emergency but it didn’t stop there. Just when I thought that I had a lid on things and got ready to hit the gym for some much needed stress relieve I realized that someone had grifted my moto overnight. You should have seen my face as I was standing there with my helmet in my hand and cursing like a sailor with turrets. I thought it couldn’t get much worse but somehow this day continued to prove me wrong. Well, I’ll spare you the ugly details – nobody likes a cry baby.

Although the Spanish cops don’t have the notoriety of the LAPD I have a feeling they won’t have any problems identifying the ole’ Mole mobile – it has some rather distinguishing features. Well, as the universe seems to have it out for me today I better treat carefully and keep a low profile. So forgive me if I run through today’s charts quickly so that I can curl up somewhere and lick my psychological wounds ;-)

Quick update on CAD/CHF which triggered today. We are about 0.7R in and nothing really happens until we touch 0.8058’1. If we close above it we’ll advance our stop to the 1R mark – if we push above it and closer below it we will exit EOD.

Equities are still on the run and thus far the 25-hour has been holding like a champ. There’s the 100-day BB approaching above and it may mean soft resistance.

The volume profile is running thin but that doesn’t mean that some headline event tomorrow can’t pop it higher. You know how the cookie crumbles.

Possible Failed Shooting Star setup on the NQ starting tonight. I’m not holding my breath but it’s the only ticket on the equities side right now.

I do however think that the bulls may have gotten a bit ahead of themselves here, so I recommend caution on the long side. For example here is the NYSE advancing/declining ratio which is dropping against a rising SPX.

But I got more where that came from – please join me in the lair:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

Alright, that’s all I got for today – time to release the hounds!

Cheers,





    Zero Indicator
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