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June 20, 2016

Chasing Your Own Tail

Over the past year we have seen a many traps and tribulations on the equities side, most of it lacking any sense of meaning or direction. Our patience has been stretched, minds confused, fragile egos and opinions bruised, and most certainly a many trading accounts have been heavily eroded in the process. One would think that at some point there ought to be some type of resolution. Well, think again!

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April 5, 2016

Information Diet

Today I would like to cover the concept of developing your personal information diet and turning your brain into one lean mean thinking machine.  The basic idea behind reducing your intake of information is nothing new and I first encountered it way back during my trend trading years. However, it is one thing for a trend trader to say that the news doesn’t matter and to limit one’s consumption. It it is another to consciously develop a systematic approach for consuming information and to extract only what is needed for arriving at high quality conclusions in the shortest amount of time.

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March 31, 2016

The Market’s Purgatory

The mindset of the average retail trader is pretty predictable. For example, if markets are strongly trending to the upside then most participants wonder: ‘how much more upside?‘ Inversely if markets are falling hard for days on end then most of the discourse revolves around ‘how much more downside?‘ If however we’re stuck in a sideways range then all they can think about is: ‘how much more of this’?

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March 22, 2016

Herding Bias

Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a bit of time to spare and decided to grab lunch at a promising looking grill restaurant. As we picked our table my wife noticed a black  Samsonite suitcase that apparently had been left right next to it. Call me paranoid but I immediately took a step back and asked the fellow travelers around us if it was theirs. Nobody responded.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Loss AversionLoss Aversion
    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Imagine two … more
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