E-Mini Swing Trading
Discretionary Trading
System Trading
Market Meta
Most Recent
 
Read More
June 22, 2017

June And Annual Seasonality

One of my readers who goes by the callsign of ‘captainboom’ yesterday in passing mentioned that the week before the 4th of July was traditionally a bullish month, which of course peaked my interest. I used to work with a very talented statistician a few years ago going by Volar who among other things regularly posted very compelling seasonal analysis. I’m in the process of recreating some of that work in Quantopian but until then I think a glance of some of Volar’s general seasonal stats over the past fifty years should suffice.

267
 
Read More
June 21, 2017

Shorting Daylight

The longest day of the year has arrived but most of Europe has already been sizzling for the past few weeks. Down here in Spain we regularly have been touching the 35 Celsius scale which is about 95 Fahrenheit for all you metricphobic North Americans. Although I love to bitch about the cold during the winter what really irks me the most is the insufferable summer heat here in Valencia which unfortunately comes with a ton of humidity  – we’re talking 80% plus at times. Which is quite different from the dry desert like heat I had gotten accustomed to living in California for about 20 years.

3137
 
Read More
June 15, 2017

Limbo Tape

Limbo tape – it’s what I call the annoying volatile sideways churn devoid of technical context we’ve been experiencing across the board since the beginning of June which has pushed retail into an early summer identity crisis. You may recall that it’s not the first time I’m talking about limbo tape and it probably won’t be the last. Now this may be a good time to once more remind everyone that we as retail traders have one principal advantage over fund managers or institutional participants such as trade desks or system operators.

3000
 
Read More
June 13, 2017

Regime Change

It’s relatively quiet morning thus far which gives us time for another exercise in tape reading. This time we are going to take a more in depth look at equities and cover a few tell tale signs that tell us if and when the market has transitioned into another distinct phase. Let’s start with the Zero:

4012
Latest Posts
 
Read More
267change_of_seasons
 
Read More
3137stonehedge-solstice
 
Read More
2388bristle_cone_pine

 
Read More
2617black_hole
 
Read More
30171456316902_13
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Sunk Cost EffectSunk Cost Effect
    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Also known … more
Popular
 
Scientific-randomness
Fooled By Randomness
 
dinos
Ten Protocols For Surviving Extreme Volatility
 
the-usual-suspects-lead
Quantutorial – Standard Deviation
 
landfill
Quantutorial – Garbage In Garbage Out
 
brewing_storm
How To Trade Realized Volatility
 
curly_stooges
Curly’s Massive Momo Update
Compare
Go