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July 25, 2017

Historical VIX Lows Since 1993

The VIX closed at 9.17 yesterday and as the ES is pushing higher in early morning trading I am starting to wonder if we are getting close to breaking the old record of 8.89 which was registered on December 22, 1993. Which is probably the clickbait you’re finding plastered all over the financial MSM right now in eager anticipation of a new ‘record low’. Which however all by itself is relatively meaningless. Fortunately here at Evil Speculator we always pop open the hood and look at what’s really driving things – it’s time to crunch some numbers!

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July 20, 2017

Evil Science Theater 4000

We have a small cause for celebration today as this will officially be post #4000 here on Evil Speculator. Which incidentally was launched all the way back in early August of 2008 – almost exactly nine years ago. It was a time of wonder back then and electricity had just been invented a few months earlier. I still remember having to take an Uber horse buggy to the evil lair in the morning, on muddy unpaved roads seamed with beggars and packs of rabid wild dogs. Trading was done by telegraph in encrypted morse code and our favorite way of shorting commodity futures was by arson of a hapless local grain farmer. Those were the days! Quite a few of you regulars from back when are [...]

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July 14, 2017

More Dollars Into The Shredder

It’s going to be a wild Friday it seems. Retail sales and CPI data disappointed earlier this morning, causing yields and the U.S. Dollar to head straight for the basement while gold of course is heading higher. I guess gold could be trusted after all, but hindsight is always 20/20 and you never know how the numbers get shuffled. Of course the NQ is soaring as I’m typing this as bad news is good for equities – back to the old QE script I take it. Unfortunately my long term outlook on not seeing a meaningful interest hike anytime this decade seems to be playing out as feared. Or as the saying goes: Don’t try to bullshit a bullshitter 

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June 29, 2017

Mid Year Momo Update

We’re half way through the year and the upcoming 4th of July weekend officially marks the beginning of the long awaited vacation season. Since most of you will be either mentally or physically absent tomorrow let’s devote whatever remains of our collective attention span to a comprehensive perspective on where we are on the momo front.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Anchoring And The BandwagonAnchoring And The Bandwagon
    I’ve been tangentially following the news at a safe distance over the past week and frankly felt tempted to pinch myself every once in a while, just … more
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