The best thing I ever did as a trader was to completely ignore the news and simply focus on my technical analysis and system rules instead. A policy that not only has kept me out of a laundry list of bear traps over the years but also allowed me to take advantage of entry opportunities while the majority of participants were left rubbing their backside.
We’re being treated to a veritable laundry list of market moving events today, which for me means to hunker down and wait for less volatile conditions. By the time you read this Mario Draghi will already be delivering his speech which is scheduled for 8:45am Eastern. At 10:00am we get the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision and just to round things off at 2:00pm it’s Yellen’s turn to deliver this month’s FOMC minutes.
General consensus thus far suggests that the Fed will be hiking rates a little in June. But as always attempting to predict Fed action is a roulette game and what’s being said is primarily aimed at gauging public [...]
The 2nd round of the French presidential elections almost seemed procedural to me in that Macron was clearly the front runner plus it was clear that various voting blocks would coalesce in order to prevent Le Pen from gaining a majority. So suffice to say that Monsieur Macron’s overwhelming 65% win wasn’t exactly a big surprise to me. Which is exactly why I had been accumulating a big stack of € cash ahead of the final round. Although I anticipated a bit of weakness after the election I did not think we would find ourselves near the lower edge of the current island again.
Yes, we are already three days into May but this kind of analysis takes a good mixture of time, attention, caffeine, and inspiration. But I think your patience will be well rewarded as we’re going to look at some rather fascinating charts. Now two weeks ago I posted a quick update which suggested that we may be at short term lows (on a daily basis) and that a reversal to the upside had good odds. Which is exactly what happened the Monday after when equities painted a big gap higher. You’re welcome, but thanks don’t pay the bills, so instead just sign up as a paying member and we’ll call it even