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April 29, 2016

April Momo Update

Today is going to be a big day for equities. As it’s the last session of the month, the candle we paint today will be on record and add another piece to the puzzle that we have slowly been putting together over the past few months. But let’s backtrack for a moment and pick this one up later. This morning I came across a brief interview with Art Cashin which gave me much pause. Disclaimer: I usually don’t watch MSNBC or any financial news but had followed a pertinent link in my online UBS account out of sheer curiosity. So Bob Pisani kind of throws this softball at Art saying that nothing really seems to be able to break or slow down this market. And I was actually a [...]

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April 13, 2016

Massive Momo Update

No matter if you are a hard nosed trader or a casual investor, every once in a while it’s advisable to detach yourself from the daily grind, sit back, grab a hot beverage, and parse through some long term charts. Although the don’t affect our daily entries here at Evil Speculator, they do give us a better view of what type of market we are navigating and thus how we may have to adjust our trading patterns. After all – context is everything. What may have worked very well in 2012 most likely hasn’t worked in the past year or so. When markets change traders have to change with it or find themselves on an extended losing streak.

I have been talking [...]

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March 28, 2016

March Momo Madness

I looked at equities this morning and had to pause a while in awe pondering the veracity of the recent advance in all its glory. Let’s not forget that about six weeks ago we were preparing ourselves for what seemed to be an inevitable awakening of the bear. Even though we never fully discarded the potential for a bullish reversal the odds seemed rather dim down there near the 1800 mark.

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March 4, 2016

Time For Some Insurance

Let me precede this post with a few caveats, just so that we are clear. First up, I’m not really bearish here. As a matter of fact the Zero signal suggests that we’ll see more upside today and we could easily blast higher way above the ES 2000 mark. Second, what I am proposing here is nothing but downside insurance – meaning we are not attempting to nail a top and make fortunes riding the tape to the downside.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
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    Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a … more
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