A few days ago I got a bit frustrated thinking that I had missed several break out patterns which in hindsight looked hard to miss. Since then however almost all have turned on a dime and I am happy to report that I have already canceled my e-Bay order of a slightly used Japanese seppuku training kit.
Ti’s the season and it’s time to bring back an old tradition here at Evil Speculator: our special lair baked market outlook scenarios. Reason being that what I’m seeing unfold in equities opens the possibility for large outlier moves on the immediate time horizon, which means either by Friday or next Tuesday at the latest. Let’s get to it:
Market volatility in all shape and form has over the years turned into a personal passion and lies now at the heart of my current system development efforts. There are several reasons for this, the first most likely being one you probably have heard about before, which is that volatility appears to be a lot easier to predict than market direction. Your mileage of course, as with all things in life, may vary considerably plus as you slowly embark on peeling this onion you’ll discover there are many layers hiding below the surface.
If you still pay any attention to the incessant clickbait peddled on perma-bear frequented watering holes like ZeroEdge then ‘thank God it’s doomsday’ has probably become your daily maxim since back in 2010, give or take a year. Most likely you are either not a trader or were eventually forced to give it up after watching your account being taken to the woodshed on several occasions. To the more nimble and reality focused rest of us this does however not mean that we should let ourselves grow complacent. After eight plus years of almost continuous upside advances the question bodes as to how much upside we have left here before we’re forced to endure a deep [...]