As if we hadn’t already suffered enough lately, today’s event roster includes this month’s FOMC minutes being delivered around 2:00pm Eastern (18:00 GMT) plus ECB board member Peter Praet delivering a speech shortly after. Which means markets across the board will most likely be stuck in nail-biting hibernation mode until then. To keep my rowdy rabble entertained I’ll do a quick and dirty momo update as I’m seeing some interesting developments.
The third quarter is officially on the books and that means we are now finally entering the most profitable trading period of the year, at least statistically speaking. As with everything in life your mileage may vary. Since it’s the beginning of a new month this we should once again take step back and look at the characteristics of the ongoing market phase in terms of volatility, momentum, as well as market breadth.
I’m seeing an increasing amount of bearish sentiment here in the comment section as well as across the financial media. Which of course is no big surprise given that we are smack middle in the most negative leaning market phase of the year. However just because a door is open does not necessarily mean the bear is going to walk through it. Let’s not forget that equity indices just painted new record highs all seasonal bias to the contrary.
Labor Day is behind us which pretty much marks the end of the summer season and, fortunately for us, the time when many traders and investors return from hibernation. Even here at the evil lair I’m seeing a distinct uptick in new subscriptions after Labor Day and fortunately many of them happen to be familiar faces. Welcome back!