I swear, I can’t leave for more than a day without the market throwing a tantrum. What quickly has become known as the Fed’s ‘One-Two Punch‘ symbols across the board were thrown into a spastic gyrations last Friday courtesy of contradictory statements issued by various FOMC members. Frankly I’m not sure what all the excitement was about. It’s not that we haven’t been there before as Mrs. Yellen and Co. appear to be adjusting monetary strategy on the fly each month based on arbitrary market measures.
People keep writing me asking if this rally is real or if they should be paying attention to all that bearish talk they keep seeing on the financial news. Quick answer: Yes, of course it’s REAL because it’s happening. And you already know my general views on listening to anything coming out of the MSM. Whatever they are telling you has little bearing with reality and usually only serves as a plausible explanation of events triggered by factors far outside our horizon. So in other words – it’s bullpucky and you’re better off watching your goldfish for valuable clues as to where the market may be heading next. Or let me make it even easier for you:
It is hot and it is humid over here in Valencia. You want to know how hot? The other day a poodle’s tail caught fire just waiting in the sun. The more frantically he was wiggling his tail the brighter it burned. Fortunately his master was nearby and was sweating so much (overweight Brit) that he was able to put the fire out with his bare hands. True story! Well, maybe not – but that’s definitely how it feels over here. Fortunately the evil lair is equipped with an industrial strength A/C unit which will continuously run on its polar bear setting until late August. If the power goes down I’m dead meat as I have a high tolerance for heat but a very low one for [...]
Is it a bird? No! Is it a plane? No! What is it? It’s a bear being shot out of a canon! And I’m not even exaggerating as this rally may be nearing its first leg but is long from being over. The bears basically had been handed eighteen months to take this market to the woodshed and failed miserably. Every. Single. Time. The price to be paid is going to be enormous because a failure of this magnitude should come with an appropriate punishment.