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April 29, 2016

April Momo Update

Today is going to be a big day for equities. As it’s the last session of the month, the candle we paint today will be on record and add another piece to the puzzle that we have slowly been putting together over the past few months. But let’s backtrack for a moment and pick this one up later. This morning I came across a brief interview with Art Cashin which gave me much pause. Disclaimer: I usually don’t watch MSNBC or any financial news but had followed a pertinent link in my online UBS account out of sheer curiosity. So Bob Pisani kind of throws this softball at Art saying that nothing really seems to be able to break or slow down this market. And I was actually a [...]

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April 19, 2016

Biding My Time

You may have noticed the lack of setups in the past week or so and I can assure you that it’s not for a lack of trying. However at the current time good directional entries seem to be few and far between. Fortunately we are in the mid of earning season and that may open up some opportunities for some nifty neutral volatility plays. If I take any I’ll be sure to share them here of course. In the interim I prefer to bide my time and wait for better odds to present themselves.

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April 14, 2016

Don’t Step In Front Of The Bull

I’m running a bit short on time this morning as I spent a good portion of it figuring out a tricky math problem I needed to solve for my one of my new short term momo indicators (i.e. a Laplace bubble). Big kudos to the Gold Gerb who didn’t hand me the solution on a platter but at least pointed me into the right direction (for which he was richly rewarded). Albeit a bit rusty in the calculus department I was able to take it from there and figure out how to process my input successfully. Of course in hindsight the solution is rather trivial, and actually confirmed one of my early ideas, but just in trading hindsight is 20/20. And in the end only results count.

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April 13, 2016

Massive Momo Update

No matter if you are a hard nosed trader or a casual investor, every once in a while it’s advisable to detach yourself from the daily grind, sit back, grab a hot beverage, and parse through some long term charts. Although the don’t affect our daily entries here at Evil Speculator, they do give us a better view of what type of market we are navigating and thus how we may have to adjust our trading patterns. After all – context is everything. What may have worked very well in 2012 most likely hasn’t worked in the past year or so. When markets change traders have to change with it or find themselves on an extended losing streak.

I have been talking [...]

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