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June 20, 2017

Long Term Perspectives

How far we have come over the past few years whilst getting absolutely nowhere. I mused just yesterday that it feels like as if we are living in one giant economic, cultural, and social bubble in dire need of a needle. Everywhere I look I see nothing but rapid inflation and boundless exuberance. What once may have been a slow and barely perceivable progression into an utopian brave new world, where nothing matters and everything carries a price tag, has at this point become utterly pervasive and is now rapidly making its way into all aspects of our personal and professional lives. But the most recent and increasingly bothersome symptom of what I deem to be a de facto generational [...]

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May 31, 2017

Rolling Into Third Quarter

Time is keeps flying by and its pace only seems to be accelerating, at least on my end. I remember writing a Christmas holiday post not so long ago and now we’re already starting to roll into various Q3 contracts. What happened? Where did time go? I think that’s the curse of being a trader – effectively your time is spent mostly looking and thinking ahead. It becomes a mental pattern and I often have to force myself to switch off my brain and simply focus on the here and now.

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May 24, 2017

Waiting Out The Storm

We’re being treated to a veritable laundry list of market moving events today, which for me means to hunker down and wait for less volatile conditions. By the time you read this Mario Draghi will already be delivering his speech which is scheduled for 8:45am Eastern. At 10:00am we get the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision and just to round things off at 2:00pm it’s Yellen’s turn to deliver this month’s FOMC minutes.

General consensus thus far suggests that the Fed will be hiking rates a little in June. But as always attempting to predict Fed action is a roulette game and what’s being said is primarily aimed at gauging public [...]

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May 15, 2017

Austrian Vacation

Over the past few weeks several readers proclaimed that they were heading on a little vacation and I decided to follow suit. For one May is really the last month before Spain is being invaded by wave after wave of sun deprived Nordic barbarians, thus travel becomes all but impossible and of course more expensive throughout the Mediterranean. Besides if you want to enjoy Europe in relative tranquility but without the occasional surprise spring snow storm then May is a great time.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Herding BiasHerding Bias
    Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a … more
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