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August 15, 2017

Skeptical

Something doesn’t add up here. We got our VIX Buy Signal confirmation and that is short to medium term bullish for equities (again, the buy refers to the latter, not the former). However I’m smelling a potential rat as the Dollar finally looks like it may be ready to squeeze the heck out of the shorts. And usually that is not exactly bullish for equities, is it now? Let’s look at some key markets and then decide the best course of action:

Alright, so there’s the lower close on the VIX which, per the rules discussed yesterday, officially puts a confirmed VIX Buy Signal on the map. No, there won’t be a parade, sorry. First up it’s too [...]

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August 14, 2017

VIX Buy Signal Issued

It seems we once more have been spared from nuclear annihilation. Although if  you somehow got clickbaited into any of the MSM shill pieces on North Korea then you’re probably reading this cowered below your bunkbed in your make shift nuclear bunker. I for one couldn’t be less worried, as years of consuming massive amounts of GM wheat beer has effectively rendered me impervious to any type of radiation. I don’t even use a flashlight at night anymore as certain body parts have started to emit an orange glow.

Alright you market mutants, it’s time to pay attention. There is a pretty good chance that we’re going to see a bonafide confirmed VIX [...]

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August 11, 2017

Harden The F### Up

Today’s post is dedicated to Scott Phillips, our resident enforcer and part time debt collector, who seems to have caught a bad break after what appears to have been a series of hare-brained decisions involving a mysterious Asian flu strain, mixed with over training, which was then exacerbated by excessive consumption of some long expired low cost GMO protein powder and unlabeled pain killers he found in some dirty dumpster around the corner. All of which combined of course put him straight in the ICU with acute kidney failure just a few days later. He’s actually lucky that he’s 10,000 km away as I feel tempted to personally come down and take him out of his misery [...]

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August 10, 2017

Keep Your Powder Dry

Considering that equities are still trading a bagel throw away from all time highs it was fascinating to observe a 28% rise in implied volatility over the past week. Now I concede that current levels are probably more in line with where the VIX should be given that we’re heading into a seasonally bearish market period of the year. August has acquired a bit of notoriety over the years due to a handful of negative outliers, however on average it is September and not August that you should be worried about (see Tuesday’s post on the subject).

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