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January 11, 2017

Ready For Action

I really had to drag my butt in front of my monitor this morning. Didn’t feel like trading and I for sure didn’t feel like I had it in me to do a post. But as the saying goes: No rest for the wicked. For I was quickly reminded of a sentiment I felt many times after convincing myself to brave lousy weather and hit the gym. For one I was glad that I went and most importantly I probably would have missed a kick ass session.

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January 10, 2017

Back To Reality

Now dreaming about the future can be a lot of fun (of course your mileage may vary) but until we actually get there there’s quite a bit of work left to be done. After all those fancy hover cars and food replicators won’t pay for themselves. Or perhaps – will they? 

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December 19, 2016

No Escape From Winter

Did I mention that I hate winter? I wish I could tell you that I am all back to my normal devious self, but unfortunately I’m still trying to shake what has turned out to be one nasty head cold. My wife’s actually had it for almost a week now as well as apparently every other Spaniard we hear walk by our house judging by the incessant coughing and sneezing. Honestly I think this will be the last winter I’ll be spending over here in Europe. Even down here in Spain the humid weather and short daylight hours eventually catch up with you. I was actually considering to make an emergency run for the South but even in Tenerife it’s only a few degrees warmer with rain [...]

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November 21, 2016

Post Election Volatility Changes In Equities

If you have been visiting regularly then you probably recall some of my earlier posts on realized volatility [1][2]. For the rest of you here’s a quick recap as it’s important to understand what realized volatility (RV) is and how it compares to implied volatility (IV). Simply RV measures the amount and amplitude of price change observed in a financial instrument over time. Big moves to the up side and down side will both produce spikes in RV. As such the volatility we measure or predict always produces an unsigned return – it does not care whether the market goes up or down.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
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    I had to think long and hard about what exactly to post today without insulting at least half of my readership. As you know I have … more
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