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November 15, 2017

Rough Times For Bucky

It’s time to talk about Forex as the temporary Dollar rally has effectively ended and is now launching significant advances in various cross pairs. You may recall I have been anticipating this very scenario since Monday after seeing a potential floor pattern on the EUR/USD in particular [1][2]. Unfortunately however the one pertinent horse I had in play appears to be the lame laggard of the bunch, which means I’ll have to find myself a sturdy banana tree later this afternoon.

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November 13, 2017

Running In Circles

The relentless advance in equities over the past few weeks/months may have distracted us from the fact that several key markets have continued to run in circles. Attempting to take break-out entries in highly volatile sideways conditions can quickly turn into a sequence of losses. Of course the realization of this is usually only clear in hindsight as regime change is difficult to anticipate.

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November 8, 2017

State Of Volatility

Market volatility in all shape and form has over the years turned into a personal passion and lies now at the heart of my current system development efforts. There are several reasons for this, the first most likely being one you probably have heard about before, which is that volatility appears to be a lot easier to predict than market direction. Your mileage of course, as with all things in life, may vary considerably plus as you slowly embark on peeling this onion you’ll discover there are many layers hiding below the surface.

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November 2, 2017

Thank God It’s Doomsday

If you still pay any attention to the incessant clickbait peddled on perma-bear frequented watering holes like ZeroEdge then ‘thank God it’s doomsday’ has probably become your daily maxim since back in 2010, give or take a year. Most likely you are either not a trader or were eventually forced to give it up after watching your account being taken to the woodshed on several occasions. To the more nimble and reality focused rest of us this does however not mean that we should let ourselves grow complacent. After eight plus years of almost continuous upside advances the question bodes as to how much upside we have left here before we’re forced to endure a deep [...]

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Loss AversionLoss Aversion
    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Imagine two … more
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