Looking at a weekly or monthly chart of the SPX this market may look easy to trade in hindsight. But believe me when I tell you that the past nine months have most certainly separated the proverbial wheat from the chaff. And that means if you’re still here, liquid and trading, then you are a proud member of an exclusive and bad ass minority among retail traders.
A funny thing happened this morning over at the ECB this morning. Mario Draghi must have finally found a moment to actually look at a EUR/USD chart as the ECB suddenly seems concerned about the implications of a 11% hike over the course of the past six months. Which to me stands in rather stark contrast with several constitutional trains wreck that are currently unfolding all across in Europe and most pressingly the one right now here in Spain. Not exactly bullish when Moody’s and other rating agencies are issuing recurring warnings about Spanish and Catalonian credit ratings.
I am still trying recover from what gradually turned into the weekend from hell. Over here in Europe independentistas in Catalonia facing off against by Spanish police forces, attempting to stop what it considers an illegal election, turned into a major skirmish which left hundreds injured and an entire nation in political turmoil. Meanwhile in France an Islamic terrorist stabbed and killed two women with a knife at a train station in Marseille before being tackled by another woman (respect!) and eventually shot and killed by security forces. Not to miss out on all the havoc an ISIS supporter in Edmonton, Canada ran over a police officer with a truck and then jumped out of the [...]
I don’t know about you guys but I’m definitely ready for October and what hopefully will turn into a solid earning season. It’s not that I don’t enjoy bearish tape but let’s be honest, August and September have been huge disappointments for the bears since the onset of QE. Now that it’s officially being shut down and rate hikes supposedly are on the horizon (I see it when I believe it) the grizzlies may have better luck next year. To me of course it’s all the same – up or down – I simply trade the tape that I am being handed.