Make no mistake – the current surge across numerous U.S. asset classes has very little to dow with good old fashioned value generation and is simply a natural response to the systematic destruction of the U.S. Dollar. It’s also part of a narrative that strangely seems to be favored by both sides of the political isle – for different reasons. In other words, rapid loss of confidence in the greenback is pushing asset holders into whatever tangible they can get their hands on.
Over the course of my trading career one of the most reliable sell signals for gold in particular has been when a) it’s starting to climb vertically and b) the MSM starts to pimp it as a reliable ‘store of wealth’. The timing of the soon ensuing correction is almost always uncanny as one generation of gold bugs after the other loses their shirts in the obligatory take down.
In last week’s ‘Tickling The Dragon’s Tail‘ I mused about the possibility of a VIX Buy Signal on the horizon. Which was followed by a sideways session in the S&P 500 with the VIX actually dropping lower. At the same time the VIX:VXV ratio pulled > its upper second standard deviation and all that means that the fun and games are just about to begin this week. Confused? I don’t blame you but as usual the ole’ Mole’s got you covered:
Yesterday was my first day back at the gym and managed to snap right back into my full routine in stark contrast of me barely being able to walk upright just last Sunday. As the saying goes: No Pain – No Gain, or in Yuletide terms: No Lift No Gift! Which pretty much has been my motto for most of this year as I’ve been working my ass off 10 hours plus seven days a week on the quant system front, all of which is slowly starting to pay off now. More on that to follow over the coming weeks after alpha testing has completed.