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November 29, 2016

Timeless Charts

It’s crickets on the setup front, nothing salient on my momo charts either. Which means it’s time to relax, take a step back, and review the big picture across the board. Although point & figure charts seem a bit antiquated in this day and age I have never understood the negative opinion some traders hold against them. After all PnFs simply give us an opportunity to cancel out an inherent but sometimes deceptive aspect of your vanilla candle or line charts. And that is TIME.

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November 21, 2016

Post Election Volatility Changes In Equities

If you have been visiting regularly then you probably recall some of my earlier posts on realized volatility [1][2]. For the rest of you here’s a quick recap as it’s important to understand what realized volatility (RV) is and how it compares to implied volatility (IV). Simply RV measures the amount and amplitude of price change observed in a financial instrument over time. Big moves to the up side and down side will both produce spikes in RV. As such the volatility we measure or predict always produces an unsigned return – it does not care whether the market goes up or down.

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November 18, 2016

The Dollar Rules Them All

When it’s all said and done cash is always king, except in India where prime minister Modi is currently working extra hard to blow up the nation’s economy and cast one billion people from poverty into extreme cashless riot ready poverty. Well done and hopefully a lesson that will be remembered the day when banks attempt to lobby for similar initiatives over in the United States. Until then the Dollar seems to have emerged as the undisputed winner of all currencies, which of course is most likely a result of an anticipated rate hike by the Federal Reserve sometime next year. As you may suspect I’m a bit skeptical as to whether they’ll actually do it, as a [...]

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November 17, 2016

Slim Pickings

We don’t have much to work with right now as my charting universe separates into two groups right now. The first one is on a burn (e.g. Euro pairs and various commodities) and the second is parked in sideways mode (e.g. precious metals and equities). Can’t squeeze blood from a stone, as they say…

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
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    Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a … more
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