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November 9, 2016

Dewey Defeats Trump

Make no mistake, the real loser of the 2016 U.S. presidential election was not Hillary Clinton. No, it was nearly the entire Western mainstream media which up to the final moment last night clung to a political fairytale it tried so very hard to convince its readers over the past two years. No matter whether you are a Hillary or a Trump supporter and no matter how you feel about the 45th president of the United States as a person, this is something that should deeply upset and worry you long after your current euphoria or depression has subsided and given way to your daily routine.

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November 8, 2016

Election Day Special

I feel really undecided today, and no I’m not talking about the two candidates as I already mailed my absentee ballot three weeks ago. Rather it’s those damn setups I found which look exceedingly delicious and which I’m hesitant to take in anticipation of some wild swings later tonight. But maybe just a teeny weeny position, e.g. 0.1% would be permissible? Let’s take a look and then we’ll decide 

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October 31, 2016

Hammer Time – Again

No worries, I am going to spare you the MC Hammer video today as I think you guys have suffered enough lately. But it is time to swing the hammer as the iron looks pretty damn hot to me. Of course given the market limbo we are still facing with nine more days to go until the election it is quite possible that this setup will once more find itself on the ash heap of trading history. But we just don’t know, do we? You may just take a look at the current configuration a few weeks from now and after a facepalm lament why the heck you didn’t go short here. Or the perhaps opposite – this was nothing but another sideways correction – I knew it! Yes, in hindsight it [...]

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October 25, 2016

Engaging Autopilot

Apparently grilled snapper has been a popular choice as of late, as participation has been dying down and equities are now officially running on autopilot. Curiously participation as shown yesterday on the Zero indicator was mainly bearish with prices pushing sideways and then climbing higher overnight. What most likely follows next over the coming days will be nothing but stop runs and more noise aimed at hassling any remaining participants.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
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    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Imagine two … more
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