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October 20, 2017

No Casual Fridays At The Lair

Sorry guys but casual Friday will have to be postponed until further notice as we’re too busy banking coin and taking numbers. On top of a veritable laundry list of winning campaigns over the past few weeks we managed to grab a very fortuitous entry on the E-Mini yesterday right ahead of the opening bell. As I was a bit pressed for time Thursday morning I thought it worthwhile to share some of my pertinent perspectives today, i.e. what caused me to suggest this campaign in the first place and how my initial beliefs were confirmed later in the session.

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September 26, 2017

Running On Three Wheels

I am still running my operation on three wheels after the data center running my hosting provider’s systems moved operations to a new location last weekend, allegedly without advising them (or me) ahead of time. I actually doubt that is true but it’s what I’m being told and I won’t waste time arguing with them as my focus lies in getting things back operational.

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September 12, 2017

VIX Opening Gaps

I noticed something on the VIX this morning which inspired me to dig a bit deeper. It started with the realization that the VIX has experienced a marked increase in realized volatility (yes RV in IV) over the course of this year, whilst at the same time managing to drop to new all time lows of 8.84. Wall of worry indeed, especially given that the E-Mini is already pushing into new virgin territory as I am typing this.

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September 8, 2017

There Goes The Dollar

With all the chaos that’s unfolding in the U.S. right now (La Tuna blaze in L.A. and a second massive hurricane now threatening the South East) I felt a bit guilty for grumbling about a comparatively inane topic like the falling Dollar. But thankfully my momentary bout of decorum quickly passed and I’m back to my old self again. So let’s do this!

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Herding BiasHerding Bias
    Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a … more
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