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October 13, 2016

Bullish Defense Perimeter

As we are officially embedded with the bear brigade it’s now time to scope out the bull’s long term defense perimeter. Since Sergeant Gold Gerb suffers from chronic insomnia he was uniquely qualified to make his way into enemy territory overnight and report back to us. Not only was he able to collect extensive intelligence, he even managed to take out a nest of stop runners single handedly with nothing but a sharpened spoon. Now here’s some of what he uncovered:

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October 12, 2016

Soylent Red

On Monday morning, sensing that a multi pronged strategy was needed, I presented you with four distinct scenarios which I separated into convenient color codes according to their respective trading directions. After a brief spike up we were treated to Soylent Orange which quickly and somewhat unexpectedly turned into Soylent Red late last night. To repeat, what we were waiting for was a quick drop below the green diagonal, followed by a retest of ES 2140.

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October 7, 2016

British Pounding

Yesterday’s post highlighting the increasingly volatile situation we are facing on the currency side couldn’t have been more prescient, as earlier this morning the British Pound suddenly found itself on the receiving end of a 6% flash crash during Asian trading hours. Some of the losses have been recouped ever since but that will be of little consolation to anyone who may have been long the GBP overnight.

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October 5, 2016

The Quiet Before The Storm

In my recent momo update I was quite adamant about the increasing odds of a major market correction. Since then we’ve seen a further increase in spasmodic intra-day gyrations across the board, fueled by a mix of low participation bot trading, heightened emotions and a constant stream of contradicting market rumors (e.g. Deutsche Bank). The trading lair has been in defcon 3 mode for a while now which clearly affects our daily trading activities.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Sunk Cost EffectSunk Cost Effect
    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Also known … more
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