A funny thing happened this morning over at the ECB this morning. Mario Draghi must have finally found a moment to actually look at a EUR/USD chart as the ECB suddenly seems concerned about the implications of a 11% hike over the course of the past six months. Which to me stands in rather stark contrast with several constitutional trains wreck that are currently unfolding all across in Europe and most pressingly the one right now here in Spain. Not exactly bullish when Moody’s and other rating agencies are issuing recurring warnings about Spanish and Catalonian credit ratings.
I don’t know about you guys but I’m definitely ready for October and what hopefully will turn into a solid earning season. It’s not that I don’t enjoy bearish tape but let’s be honest, August and September have been huge disappointments for the bears since the onset of QE. Now that it’s officially being shut down and rate hikes supposedly are on the horizon (I see it when I believe it) the grizzlies may have better luck next year. To me of course it’s all the same – up or down – I simply trade the tape that I am being handed.
It is Sunday afternoon and that means we get to review the performance of last week’s historical top and bottom stock symbols in the S&P 500. As you may recall these symbols are the result of parsing a database containing over 50 years worth of statistical performance data. The idea is to extract the prospective top ten winners and losers of the coming week purely based on historical statistics. The result is then sorted by liquidity and any symbol that is scheduled to report earnings or pass ex-dividend is being excluded.
I’m seeing an increasing amount of bearish sentiment here in the comment section as well as across the financial media. Which of course is no big surprise given that we are smack middle in the most negative leaning market phase of the year. However just because a door is open does not necessarily mean the bear is going to walk through it. Let’s not forget that equity indices just painted new record highs all seasonal bias to the contrary.