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January 12, 2017

Class In Session

I’m going to cover two important topics today which both relate to realized volatility (RV) and in particular how to trade your way around it. If you’ve been a trader for a while then you probably have noticed that volatility profiles differ substantially on the short term when compared with the long term. In essence volatility has a tendency to decrease toward the long term. Nevertheless many traders treat those charts the same when designing their systems, e.g. how and where they enter, where they place their stop loss, and how they handle campaign management. 

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January 3, 2017

Off To The Races

And we are officially ticking in 2017! I trust you enjoyed a memorable holiday season and are now ready to slowly abandon each and every New Year’s resolution you committed yourself to just last week. Personally I’m pretty proud of myself as I survived yet another Christmas without adding a single pound. Plus I spent much of the past 10 days collaborating with Scott and a few others on an improved version of Scalpius. I’ll be sharing more on that that as we’re forward trading the system over the coming two months.

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December 21, 2016

Happy Winter Solstice

Here comes the cold and the dark. If you are like me and hate winter with a vengeance then you may be pretty depressed today. But let’s not forget that there’s an upside. Today being the shortest day of the year also means that it only gets better from here, as every new sunrise brings us a few more minutes of daylight. The contrast in daylight hours is actually a lot more pronounced over here in Europe, even in the South of Spain. Back when I was living in Germany I recall the sun setting at half past four and not appearing again until after eight. Of course it’s even worse further up North.

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December 19, 2016

No Escape From Winter

Did I mention that I hate winter? I wish I could tell you that I am all back to my normal devious self, but unfortunately I’m still trying to shake what has turned out to be one nasty head cold. My wife’s actually had it for almost a week now as well as apparently every other Spaniard we hear walk by our house judging by the incessant coughing and sneezing. Honestly I think this will be the last winter I’ll be spending over here in Europe. Even down here in Spain the humid weather and short daylight hours eventually catch up with you. I was actually considering to make an emergency run for the South but even in Tenerife it’s only a few degrees warmer with rain [...]

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Loss AversionLoss Aversion
    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Imagine two … more
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