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November 15, 2010

Forex Pair Correlations

For the past few months the AUD/JPY has been key in tracking how capital would flow in or out of index futures such as the ES or the NQ. Whenever the spoos were either lagging or leading a snap back to the ‘AUD/JPY mean’ was almost assured – which made for a great reversion play. Recently however the game has changed – why I frankly do not know. As I am not a fundamental trader the nitty-gritty details of how carry traders play their nasty games largely elude me. I’m a simple market megalomaniac and the only thing that matters to me is that the correlation is slowly eroding:

Plus those swings on my stochastic are erratic and hard to follow [...]

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