E-Mini Swing Trading
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March 23, 2017

Live Tape Reading W1217

During my time away it didn’t escape my attention that you guys very much enjoyed Scott’s excerpts on tape reading. As you all know I am very much a systemic trader at this point but at the same time still enjoy following a variety of charts on a discretionary/analytical basis for three reasons: First I happen to be good at it as my thinking process follows a mixture between the analytical and the creative. Second it gives me opportunities for campaigns I would miss out on just focusing on my systems. Third reading the tape actually gives me ideas for building new automated systems. For all these reasons and more I decided to do one post exclusive to tape reading every [...]

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February 27, 2017

The Higher We Soar

It is Friedrich Nietzsche who we attribute to having said that ‘the higher we soar, the smaller we appear to those who cannot fly.’ He actually went on to coin several other flight related quotes, but as ole’ Friedrich kicked the bucket in late 1900 I doubt that he actually ever boarded anything resembling a real aircraft. Because had he done that he would invariably have rephrased it to ‘the higher we soar, the smaller appear the ones [on the ground] who cannot fly.’

Clearly and rather understandably being a product of his time Nietzsche contemplated flight from the perspective of an earth bound observer. Because I can tell you from [...]

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February 24, 2017

End Of The Road?

A slowing of the trend in the S&P 500 over the past few sessions has evolved into a more pronounced sell off overnight, and by the time you read this my ongoing E-Mini long campaign may have already met its maker. And that would be perfectly fine as we’ve been riding this rally way beyond expectation. And I mean that in a strictly technical sense and not an emotional one. A 3R or 4R winner is considered a very good run these days, especially given the increase in intra-day volatility over the past few years. More than double that should always be considered the rare exception, rather than the norm. That fact of course does little to prevent most retail participants from [...]

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February 22, 2017

Still Room To The Top

It’s lonely at the top, so the saying goes. But we’re not even at the top yet and I am already noticing a distinct lack of good company. I was pondering a bit yesterday on the fact that I hadn’t seen a single joyful comment regarding the ongoing two week plus rally, especially given that there hasn’t been a single attempt to produce an obligatory correction. What I did notice was a heck of a lot of chatter regarding the miners and pretty much everything else. The big elephant on the trading floor remains to be this relentless equities advance which for some reason is barely being talked about. Not counting of course the obligatory MSM clickbait attributing it [...]

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
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    I had to think long and hard about what exactly to post today without insulting at least half of my readership. As you know I have … more
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