Another difficult lesson to be learned as an aspiring trader or investor is that trending markets are either the easiest or the hardest to trade. Clearly it’s great if you got in early and your positions are flashing bright green. Otherwise it very much depends on your trading style and of course whether or not you managed to get a seat on the bus. You may prefer to wait for a confirmation retest before hopping on an unfolding trend, you may not get filled (it happens!), or perhaps you simply got kicked off just before it took off.
I’m sure it hasn’t escaped your attention that the Dollar has been getting it on the chin lately. Just a few weeks ago I proposed that the Euro was about to break out of its recent floor pattern and accelerate higher. Unfortunately that perspective turned out to be correct and I have been watching my EUR/USD exchange rate degrade relentlessly over the past few weeks.
During my time away it didn’t escape my attention that you guys very much enjoyed Scott’s excerpts on tape reading. As you all know I am very much a systemic trader at this point but at the same time still enjoy following a variety of charts on a discretionary/analytical basis for three reasons: First I happen to be good at it as my thinking process follows a mixture between the analytical and the creative. Second it gives me opportunities for campaigns I would miss out on just focusing on my systems. Third reading the tape actually gives me ideas for building new automated systems. For all these reasons and more I decided to do one post exclusive to tape reading every [...]
It is Friedrich Nietzsche who we attribute to having said that ‘the higher we soar, the smaller we appear to those who cannot fly.’ He actually went on to coin several other flight related quotes, but as ole’ Friedrich kicked the bucket in late 1900 I doubt that he actually ever boarded anything resembling a real aircraft. Because had he done that he would invariably have rephrased it to ‘the higher we soar, the smaller appear the ones [on the ground] who cannot fly.’
Clearly and rather understandably being a product of his time Nietzsche contemplated flight from the perspective of an earth bound observer. Because I can tell you from [...]