E-Mini Swing Trading
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October 17, 2017

A Few Quick Entries

I spent a bit of time this morning extending my weekly top/bottom stock parser to also include NYSE, AMEX, and Nasdaq symbols, thus increasing the number of candidates considerably (from a bit over 500 to several thousand). This will most likely help us even out the long/short ratios during historically bullish or bearish weeks. Pulling all that data from Yahoo Finance proved to be a bit of a challenge as they’re quick to cut you off after a few hundred requests. So I implemented a ‘top up’ function which downloads only the most recent data each week instead of getting the entire historical data every time.

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September 18, 2017

Full Steam Ahead

Trading volume in the S&P 500 has finally been on the increase after what amounted to a pretty sleepy August. However as always when looking under the hood I am seeing a few disconnects that are worth noting. For one effective participation in the E-Mini as shown on our Zero indicator remains minimal, suggesting that the ratio of executed shares vs. the number of transactions may be high.

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August 22, 2017

Dead Cat Dollar Bounce

I wish it wasn’t so but every single campaign I am currently holding or considering as an entry is tied to the greenback, at least to some extent. This unfortunately is the state of affairs in the age of perpetual quantitive easing, which over the past decade has become the primary purveyor of perceived growth and the number one determinant of market direction. Cut off the easy money injections and down goes the market, simple. Everyone knows it and the longer this drags out the more violent the patient is expected to respond when finally forced to face cold turkey.

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August 21, 2017

Lost A Few Pounds

It seems like we were subjected to an enforced trading diet late Friday, and apparently it’s working since as you can see my abs are starting to show. By the way, sorry if you just lost your breakfast. Obviously this isn’t a big surprise to anyone as fast drops/advances *ahead of medium or long term inflection points* usually are quickly followed by a shake out. Pay attention now as this is important: Especially on the sell side the dynamics shift considerably once those inflection points have been breached, as violent selling usually tapers out more slowly before a bounce.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Herding BiasHerding Bias
    Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a … more
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