Equities futures are rolling into their March contracts today which is in part why we saw a distinct increase in realized volatility over the past week or two. Not being a huge fan of rainy winters in the Mediterranean I for one can’t wait for expiration day which also happens to be my spring vacation season. Then again I shouldn’t complain about the weather judging by what some of my trading buddies in Chicago are going through right now. Scraping ice from your windshield is one thing, scraping it off your contact lenses is another.
Not surprisingly we are now seeing a bit of post Thanksgiving profit taking on both the equity and currency side. Had I not been stopped out on Friday already I most definitely would have been yesterday. And now the trails of both of my forex campaigns also received a visit so I’m almost all in cash. Holiday weeks are great periods for break-out formations due to less liquidity allowing institutional traders to leverage their market moving capabilities and pin the tape to their liking.
While you lowly mortals are slowly awakening from your tryptophan induced slumbers the mighty Mole is already banking coin whilst selecting future victims for lawful extraction of ill-gotten gains [insert evil laughter of your choice] As tough as this racket may be at times and despite the personal toll it invariably takes on us over time – you’ve got to love that feeling of waking up in the morning and realizing that your campaign has produced yet another R overnight. As a trader by heart and evil speculator by trade this more than makes up for all those dark times when find yourself on the losing end of the market’s zero sum equation.
It’s time to talk about Forex as the temporary Dollar rally has effectively ended and is now launching significant advances in various cross pairs. You may recall I have been anticipating this very scenario since Monday after seeing a potential floor pattern on the EUR/USD in particular . Unfortunately however the one pertinent horse I had in play appears to be the lame laggard of the bunch, which means I’ll have to find myself a sturdy banana tree later this afternoon.