E-Mini Swing Trading
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February 2, 2016

Too Many Damn Setups

I’m having way too much fun this morning, which accounts for my somewhat belated post. There literally seem to be juicy setups crawling out of the woodwork and I just kept adding new ones while reducing exposure on others in order to reduce correlation risk. So without further ado let’s jump right in:

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October 30, 2015

Happy Halloween

Not much going on out there and I’ve been slinging some code in favor of watching the proverbial paint dry. On the equities side we seem to be pushing sideways again which is a bit surprising:

The volume profile on the E-Mini is showing us inside quite a bit of activity and I didn’t anticipate this type of tape until 2100 mark. Then again it’s Halloween and quite a lot of folks are busy squeezing themselves into silly costumes in anticipation to get wasted. Now that’s a strategy I can get behind of!

Gold is starting to look a bit frisky here and I am looking forward to a solid retest of the 100-day SMA. Once that happens [...]

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October 27, 2015

Stop Snag

My trailing stop on the ES just got snagged and that concludes my current long campaign. The snapshot below was taken before my stop got taken out – but based on the candles present in the early morning I pretty much knew the writing was on the wall.

Whether or not I jump back in depends on the context we’re going to produce over the coming days. I may be temped near the 100-hour which currently sits at 2048 on the spoos. However my favorite scenario would be a more thorough one retesting the base near 2020 – that scenario currently only has a ~30% probability however.

EUR/AUD – beautiful entry here still near the 100-day SMA. We [...]

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September 22, 2015

Epiphany

I was staring at the E-Mini futures this morning – it must have been almost ten minutes just pondering and trying to figure out what was bothering me so much about this chart. And then suddenly I realized what was going on – and what also became apparent was that, no matter how long you are in the game, the tape still can always pull one over on you. The mighty Mole is not immune.

So the big epiphany I speak of was that nothing really has changed, folks. Remember all the sideways crap we endured for most of this year? And then suddenly we got a big slide (almost) out of nowhere – which we actually played quite well, but I digress. What I’m [...]

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2315Riders participate in the 74th "That Famous Preston Night" Rodeo in Preston Idaho, August 1, 2009. The annual event is billed as one of the region's biggest rodeos, bringing top riders and thousands of fans to the small southern Idaho town. Photo by Colin E. Braley
 
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Cognitive Bias Carousel
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