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October 10, 2016

Let’s Get Creative

Barring a meteoroid punching a hole through our moon or the St. Andreas Fault leveling the West Coast it seems that the collective sideways churn will most likely extend all the way into the November 8th presidential election. No matter where you stand politically I’m pretty sure you hate this tape even more than either Hillary or Trump. But let’s remember that bitching and complaining is the domain of losers. Instead let’s think about how we can take advantage of the situation.

In case you are wondering – no, I didn’t acquire a glue sniffing habit over the weekend. Let me explain the four scenarios above and it’ll all make [...]

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June 20, 2016

Chasing Your Own Tail

Over the past year we have seen a many traps and tribulations on the equities side, most of it lacking any sense of meaning or direction. Our patience has been stretched, minds confused, fragile egos and opinions bruised, and most certainly a many trading accounts have been heavily eroded in the process. One would think that at some point there ought to be some type of resolution. Well, think again!

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June 10, 2016

The Wall Stands

Once again the ice wall blocking the way to SPX 2100 and beyond proved too steep a hurdle for the bulls. Yesterday’s lackluster session was a bad omen in that it showed only obligatory participation near such an important inflection point. That’s not how to storm a stronghold that has held what at this feels like aeons 

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February 12, 2016

What Goes Straight Up

What goes [straight] up must eventually go down. However when exactly a symbol which has turned exponential runs out of fuel is the more important question. Once emotions reign high all bets are off – or in this case all bids are on. You may recall that I was pointing at gold the other day and suggesting that we may see another wild push to the upside.

Which is exactly what we got and I’m pretty glad I got out of my short position at break/even. We are now seeing an obligatory pullback but medium term this thing may have legs.

Just FYI – the P&F claims that we met the bullish price objective. However I wouldn’t really think [...]

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Herding BiasHerding Bias
    Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a … more
Ten Trading Rules For Avoiding Extinction
The Emotional Purgatory Of Cognitive Biases – Part 1
Practice Makes Perfect
Option Basics – Credit Spreads
Option Basics – Debit Spreads
Option Basics – The Greeks