The One That Got Away

Unfortunately there is one chart I somehow forgot to post last night. Which is a shame as it was one of my favorite setups: crude.

2015-02-02_crude_setup

I grabbed the March contract near 50, just above the NLBL and the 25-day SMA. For some reason the chart fell through the cracks and when I saw it this morning I realized that I hadn’t posted about it. So here’s what happened since then:

2015-02-03_crude

Judging by the beautiful ramp on the hourly panel the squeeze is on! Sorry about dropping that chart last night! Anyway if you happen to be long crude then do nothing. It’s possible that the 50 mark is being re-tested but odds now support that a LT low is in place.

2015-02-03_ZN_briefing

Otherwise I don’t see much I really like this morning – plus I’m treating lightly in this crazy tape. The 10-year bond futures may be a good long above 130’300 – stop below the 100-hour SMA near 130’160.

 

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Cheers,

Setup Tuesday!

We’ve been through some nasty tape over the past week but I have an inkling that’s about to change. Things are slowly coming into focus and it’s probably not accidental that we’ve got setups crawling out of the woodwork this morning. So it’s going to be a busy morning – grab a cup of coffee or your favorite tea, roll up your sleeves, and be ready to pull that trigger!

2015-01-27_spoos_briefing

Quick update on the spoos – up/down/up/down – I think I’m getting sea sick. Whether or not this is yet another berar trap is beyond me but what I do know is that 2062 remains unchallenged thus far. I know I’ve been sounding like a broken record over the past week or two but this market is NOT healthy. Be on your guard!

I’m going to be short here below 2040 – long above the NLBL at 2047.75 – in between it’s a coin toss.

2015-01-27_GBPJPY_briefing

Okay, setups setups – we got aplenty. GBP/JPY – long here with a stop below 177.8.

2015-01-27_AUDCAD_briefing

AUD/CAD – long here with a stop below 0.9882.

2015-01-27_cotton_briefing

Let’s not skimp on the futures either – I’m long cotton with a stop below 58.

But we’re just getting warmed up – please join me in the lair:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

You have been briefed – now have fun but keep it frosty. See you guys later this afternoon.

Cheers,

Let’s Dive Right In

So, are we finally done yet? Through how many more holidays will the Mole have to suffer? And there’s another one coming on February 16th – it just never ends! You think I may be kidding but I’m actually halfway serious. Look, I enjoy some time off as much as the next steel rat but as soon as there’s a holiday the entire trading week before and after is pretty much shot. Enough is enough – time to bank some coin.

2015-01-20_spoos_briefing

Alright equities – it seems like the bears are going to fumble this one again. The spoos are looking good here and today’s session should decide whether this is one last bull trap or if the bulls are getting blown out of the water. See that hourly NLBL – I’m catching it with a long and my stop is below 2013. Got to hedge my NQ short position which (thank the trading gods) has its stop at b/e by now.

2015-01-20_crude_briefing

Crude – long here with a stop below 47.5. IF we finally get a pop above 50 this thing will grow some legs. Until then we’ll have to suffer through the sideways churn.

Two more goodies below the fold – please join me in the lair:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

You have been briefed – now have fun but keep it frosty. See you guys later this afternoon.

Cheers,




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