Sky Diving Elvis’

I’m going to dip my toe into a few symbols today again – however let’s re-emphasize again that small position sizing clearly should be our modus operandi for the foreseeable future. It is important that you understand that a practice of small position sizing (e.g. < 0.5% per campaign) and wider stops does not hamper our ability to profit but instead leverages this high volatility market phase in our favor. To place large bets during this period is tantamount to gambling, and if that’s what you’re after then I suggest you head for Vegas or Reno.

At least there you get to enjoy low priced hotel rooms, pool side entertainment, a sky diving Elvis, and girls in skimpy outfits serving you free drinks while they suck money out of your wallets*. You have been warned.

UPDATE: I had posted a ZB and ZN long trade but they hit the stop a few minutes after. I don’t see much edge in a short position here so I’m waiting for instructions. Meanwhile this is what’s left on the menu this morning:

2015-08-26_GBPCHF_briefing

GBP/CHF has been dancing on the 100-day SMA and I’m long here. However if stopped out near 1.46 I plan on reversing to short position. Again, SMALL position sizing – I’m taking 0.33% R position sizes today.


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2015-08-26_events

A little bit of event risk today an hour before the open. You have been briefed – now have fun but keep it frosty.

Cheers,

* Why am I not in Vegas right now again?

Bonds Bonds Bonds!

Excellent bond setups are on the roster today and I’m posting this early so that you guys have a chance to get a seat on the bus. Equities are also in a pretty juicy formation so I guess it’s going to be a busy morning:

2015-08-04_spoos_briefing

The spoos are looking tired as heck which is why I’m currently long with a stop below the recent spike low. IF we bust through that one then I think we’re going all the way to the lower daily BB. Also note that the hourly BBs are tightening and most likely we are going to see even more volatility here soon. Heck… hell of a summer!

2015-08-04_NQ_briefing

The NQ painting the same pattern – also long here and I have split my 1R exposure between both. Same implications – below 4540 we are in bear territory. Gravity could kick in quickly here – be prepared.

2015-08-04_corn_briefing

Corn – awesome setup as those hourly BBs are squeezed to the max. BIG move coming. Which way I don’t know but I’m currently long until I’m not, which will be below 364.6.

2015-08-04_ZF_briefing

Okay I promised bonds and El Topo delivers. Five year bond futures are challenging old daily resistance and I’m long here with a stop below a recent daily NLBL. Very few people are going to be long here after the recent push higher, which is why I like it even more.

However I’m keeping my favorite bond setup (and a LOT more) for my intrepid subs:


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A lot of juicy symbols today. One may even say that we have a plethora of setups!

Cheers,

Thursday Road Map

Finally this month’s Mad FOMC Wednesday is behind us and we can get back to what we do best – squeeze ill-gotten gains from this crazy market. We have a ton of juicy setups today and equities also offer us various ways to get (mildly) exposed, so let’s get to it.

2015-07-30_spoos_roadmap_briefing

Now, I’m going to make this extremely easy for you today:

  • While we’re between 2100.75 and 2095.5 – do NOTHING. This is hardcore churn territory.
  • Above 2100.75 the bulls are in possession.
  • Below 2095.5 you can be short with 1/2R or less.
  • At 2085 we evaluate – best to consult the Zero at touch down to see if there’s a potential fumble in the cards.
  • Below 2083 I will already be short if I see lackluster participation on the Zero. And yes, I misspelled SHORT – but at least I spelled misspelled correctly.

2015-07-30_YM_roadmap_briefing

Similar thresholds on the YM – I think you get the general idea. The easiest configuration by the way happens to be on the NQ today but I’m keeping this for my intrepid subs.

2015-07-30_crude_briefing

Crude – I think the chart is pretty clear, n’est-ce-pas?

2015-07-30_EURUSD_briefing

The Euro – well, as much as I want to see it crash and burn I have long learned that there’s a magic buyer down here and I probably won’t get my wish. Long here with a stop near 1.092 at which point I’ll flip for a small short.

You want more? Then pay up and join the club – freebie mongers only get to see the tip of the iceberg.


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Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

That’s probably a lot more leads than you cared for – being mid summer and all. Just crank up that A/C, grab a glass of iced coffee and get to work, you lazy bastards!

Oh sorry – coffee is for closers only.

Cheers,




    Zero Indicator


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  3. recent misdeeds

    1. Time To Pay Attention (Again)
    2. Inside The Mind Of A Retail Rat
    3. Taking Profits
    4. Relive The Bounce
    5. Rammstein
    6. Sky Diving Elvis’
    7. Steadily – Consistently – Systematically
    8. The Tale Of The Big Bad Bear
    9. Long Term Support
    10. Medium Term Support