Sitting On The Edge

Equities are at an inflection point – yes, we are pushing into new territory but due to a shallow correction yesterday¬†we may not be ready to start another squeeze. I’m still holding the long positions I grabbed this morning and my stop remains at 2008.5 which means I was one tick away from being touched.

2014-11-05_spoos_volume_profile

The E-Mini volume profile chart shows us what we’re up against – we are heading into uncharted territory and I think a more thorough correction is needed to kick this thing higher into the Santa season. Either way, I’m still holding my longs I grabbed at 1872. My current stop is at the 2nd nearest spike low at 1960. I am considering to shed 20% if we drop through the previous one at 1995.

2014-11-05_SPX_update

The hourly SPX panel shows us a very solid 25-hour SMA which however is starting to lose momentum. So the situation here is pretty clear. The bulls need to start running or face a more thorough correction, perhaps all teh way toward 1962 where we find the 100-hour SMA (see, there IS method to my madness).

2014-11-05_VIX_SPX

The VIX is slightly elevated as you can see from the ratio I’m plotting below the SPX here. So I think market makers are expecting a correction here as well. Strangely thus far nothing has yet materialized.

2014-11-05_GBPJPY_update

Update on the GBP/JPY setup from last night – see what I meant by not having a directional bias? Who looked at that chart yesterday and would have considered a LONG entry? Perhaps 1% of all traders – that’s how many. Well we did and my recommendation is to move your stop to b/e – you are now sitting pretty. I can’t promise that this squeeze will continue but the die has been cast and now we wait. By the way GBP/USD worked fantastically for a few hours but then somehow ran back to our entry – I recommend an exit on that one.

2014-11-05_AUDCAD_update

AUD/CAD – I was whipsawed there this morning but got above 0.9905 – taking profits now which earned me a bit over 1R considering the 1/2R I lost being long first.

2014-11-05_crude_update

Crude – perfect entry here this morning and we are now uniquely positioned for continuation higher. Again, no guarantees but move your stop to break/even and then sacrifice a medium rare beef burger to appease our overlords at the firm whose name must not be spoken.

Only one measly setup this evening and I’m keeping it for my intrepid subs:


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Cheers,

Wednesday Morning Briefing

Welcome to our morning briefing. Here we are reviewing short term setups ahead of the NYSE opening bell. If you are a scalper or swing trader then these setups may be of interest to you. As usual keep in mind that these are short term setups although they could be used as early entries for more longer term positions.

2014-11-05_spoos_briefing

I am long 1/2R at 2015 with an ISL at 2008.5. Half an R only because I’m still holding long positions since 1872. The odds are mixed here but if it finally detaches I expect a ramp.

2014-11-05_crude_briefing

Crude – gorgeous entry this morning and I’m long right here with a stop below 76.63.


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You have been briefed – now have fun but keep it frosty. See you guys later this afternoon.

Cheers,

Happy Halloween!

Boy oh boy РI live for this stuff! Massive moves across the board and of course Thor is loving it. Before you guys head out and slip into your Halloween costumes I wanted to serve up a few more charts as we are seeing had significant developments across the board:

2014-10-31_spoos_update

The E-Mini (and the S&P cash) just painted a new all time high – who would have expected that just two weeks ago? Well, we didn’t but we had the foresight to go long near 1860 and our accounts have been blinking green ever since. As I said – this thing is just getting warmed up. Today it’s going to be pretty much ramp & camp here and most likely we’ll be seeing a shake out next week. But the weekly is donning a brand spanking new buy signal and unless disaster strikes before the close it’s on the books.

2014-10-31_gold_update

GOLD!! Actually was looking at being long yesterday but to my credit I pointed out that being short below 1170 is recommendable. And we just breached that and a brand spanking new weekly NLSL. Wow this is huge! Just look at the monthly panel to grasp the significance of what’s happening here. The gold bugs are near a panic no doubt and this could easily fall off the plate. I expect some gyrations here at this major inflection points but being short with a stop above the 1237 NLBL is the name of the game now.

Two more juicy long term charts waiting below – please meet me in the lair:


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And now it’s time for you know what:

beer4

That’s right – Hefeweizen time! And we damn well bloody deserve it as we’ve played this advance (and the preceding sell off) like bosses. Allow me to take you out old school:

Prost!

oldtimer_yukon




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