Monday Morning Briefing

Welcome to our morning briefing. Here we are reviewing short term setups ahead of the NYSE opening bell. If you are a scalper or swing trader then these setups may be of interest to you. As usual keep in mind that these are short term setups although they could be used as early entries for more longer term positions.

2015-04-06_spoos_briefing

Boy, we have a ton of excellent ST setups waiting in the bullpen this morning – so let’s dive right in. The context on the spoos is fairly juicy here – observe the bounce off the lower 100-hour BB on Sunday night and as of now the tape is busy drawing in participants before a big move.

2015-04-06_NQ_briefing

However I wouldn’t trade the S&P futures this morning, instead I’m looking at being long the NQ above the NLBL near 4280 and short below the (already expired) NLSL at 4266.25.

2015-04-06_YM_briefing

Alternatively or in combination the YM also has good ST context – trigger and stop levels are 17560 and 17511.

2015-04-06_EURUSD_briefing

The EUR/USD looks like it wants to pop higher and I’m planning a trip to the ATM right after finishing this post. Long here already with a stop below 1.0983. I hate this trade but have got to take it ;-)

Alright – we’re all warmed up now? Plenty more waiting below the fold:


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So did I promise too much? GREAT setups today? It’s good to be back, especially when the tape throws such juicy setups at us. See you guys later this afternoon.

Cheers,

Easy Prey

Yesterday I mused about my habit of sitting through panic spikes only to pick out easy prey once the dust settles. Well, today is that day and as we have plenty of juicy candidates limping past us we better get organized. This is it folks – time to get busy!

2015-03-19_spoos_update

The spoos retraced quite a bit of yesterday’s advance and currently we are hanging somewhere in the middle of nowhere. No entry here unless we drop lower and touch 2065.

2015-03-19_NQ_update

The NQ however ain’t a bad long here with a stop below 4410.

2015-03-19_EURUSD_setup

EUR/USD – as much as I love it back at 1.06, as a trader I just have to take a long here with a stop below the 100-hour SMA. If it drops below that then I win as well once I’m back in VLC.

2015-03-19_gold_setup

Gold is looking like solid here and if it holds this NLBL we should be primed to pump higher. You have a choice between putting your ISL below that hourly NLSL or the 100-hour SMA.

Plenty more waiting below the fold – please step into my West Coast lair:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

Bonus Chart!

2015-03-19_zero

Strangely today’s momentum/participation is twice of what we saw yesterday in the ramp higher. Alright, tthat ought to keep you guys busy for a while – I’m grabbing breakfast now. Trading on the West Coast sucks – but I love the weather and the eye candy.

Cheers,

Everything Must GO!

Yellen strikes again and the bears have been blown out of the water once more, as expected yesterday. This morning’s drop below yesterday’s lows was a nasty little bear trap and I’m glad that I had cut my remaining short exposure to half which I got out near break even (having a stop below break/even – be prepared during FOMC days). I don’t expect any of you guys having caught that spike higher so let’s just observe the aftermath of what equates to a massive collective rope-a-dope.

2015-03-18_spoos_update

The spoos rocketed higher like a bat out of hell. We just sliced through a daily NLBL and odds have it we’ll push a bit higher even before the close. I think this is one a great example of why I will never be able to live in SoCal again. This morning I fell out of bed, saw the spoos near the lows paired with low participation and thought to myself that it was a great buying opportunity. Of course by the time I’m up and running and ready to post the train has left the building. Moral of the story – if you want to catch early morning entry opportunities effectively – live on the East Coast or in Europe (Brazil and even Chile would work as well).

2015-03-18_zero

Anyway, this is my favorite chart of the day and the reason may not be immediately apparent. Yes, those spikes on the Zero Lite (right panel) are pretty large – or ARE THEY? On further observation we are spiking at 0.8 – and that amounts to almost NOTHING in comparison with regular trending days. The conclusion here is that this was driven by a small minority of connected prop desks and people on the inside. 99% of traders did NOT participate in this advance higher. You are free to draw your own conclusion from this. Personally I refrain from letting this affect my trading – I simply stay away during Federal Open Manipulation Cycles.

2015-03-18_EURUSD_update

EURUSD is a buy – notice that we are going to close three consecutive higher highs for the first time in months now. It seems that Mole’s European adventure is going to become more costly again.

2015-03-18_bonds_update

Bonds are a buy – everything must go! Massive candles here.

2015-03-18_gold_update

Gold is a buy buy buy – and we just cemented new weekly support near those lower bollingers. Breaching that in the future would require some heavy duty equipment and very strong downside momentum. I think we are looking at minimum at a medium term low here.

I’m not taking entries right now – my standing policy is to let FOMC days play out and then pick out easy prey stumbling along the sidelines once the dust clears. See you guys tomorrow morning.

I leave you with this courtesy of the Fly.

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Cheers,




    Zero Indicator


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    1. Chasing The Market’s Tail
    2. Still In The Game
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