I just love statistics, which I in part attribute to my anal retentive Teutonic background. I’m not even that good in math but show me any graph and it’s like intellectual p0rn to me – I can’t resist. After building our most handy Evil Speculator statistics monger I spent hours looking through literally hundreds of charts. The most salient of course being the Spiders (SPY) as it gives us a pretty good historical perspective on seasonal trends on equities as a whole. So let’s see where we heading, at least statistically speaking:
Sorry guys but casual Friday will have to be postponed until further notice as we’re too busy banking coin and taking numbers. On top of a veritable laundry list of winning campaigns over the past few weeks we managed to grab a very fortuitous entry on the E-Mini yesterday right ahead of the opening bell. As I was a bit pressed for time Thursday morning I thought it worthwhile to share some of my pertinent perspectives today, i.e. what caused me to suggest this campaign in the first place and how my initial beliefs were confirmed later in the session.
I am still running my operation on three wheels after the data center running my hosting provider’s systems moved operations to a new location last weekend, allegedly without advising them (or me) ahead of time. I actually doubt that is true but it’s what I’m being told and I won’t waste time arguing with them as my focus lies in getting things back operational.
I noticed something on the VIX this morning which inspired me to dig a bit deeper. It started with the realization that the VIX has experienced a marked increase in realized volatility (yes RV in IV) over the course of this year, whilst at the same time managing to drop to new all time lows of 8.84. Wall of worry indeed, especially given that the E-Mini is already pushing into new virgin territory as I am typing this.