One For The Road

This will be my last post before until Thursday as I’m heading out to catch my plane to Paris and then to Los Angeles. This actually works out better than having to take the AVE to Madrid and then grabbing a flight to L.A., especially now that Iberia apparently has apparently ceased servicing the direct route. Let’s just hope those frogs won’t be on strike today – you never know, but at least it’s still out of season over here in Europe.


Suffice to say that I don’t even know what time it is anymore – over the past week I have slowly delayed my sleeping cycle and am now operating on Eastern Standard time. The idea is to pop a Xanax on the plane and hopefully not being awaken by the fat guy they’ve invariably booked right next to me. Anyway, Scott has graciously volunteered to post tomorrow, and his timing couldn’t be any better as we have plenty of movement across the board.


So let’s talk tape! On the Zero we’ve had a pretty wild day with swings on both sides of the spectrum but still favoring the short side. However I do see a bit of a divergence on the hourly (left panel) which is probably due to the fact that we had barely any positive signal spikes yesterday. You guys are probably wondering where we may find support, let’s see:


The E-Mini futures are hanging somewhere in limbo and the only context I see is the weekly NLSL at 2036.5. We haven’t touched it yet and I would like to see that before I suggesting taking partial profits.


I’m posting the weekly and monthly NQ chart here in order to give you guys a bit of perspective. I don’t really have to say it, right? Just look at this monthly panel and marvel at this beautiful trend to the upside. That’s a one in a lifetime move, folks and you’ll probably have to heavily invest in cryonics to ever see anything of the kind again. Now, we are near the monthly NLBL at 4348 here and that ought to be good for a bit of support. On the weekly we got 4286 and 4201.5 plus the 25-week SMA in case we drop lower. I think we’ll probably see an obligatory bounce first.


Update on my open positions – Gold remains lackluster and I’m closing it out with meager profits. The CAD pairs all got stopped out but at least at break/even – so I got out clean on those.


GBP/NZD is on a roll now and I’m advancing my stop to 2.0628.


GBP/CAD – almost got stopped out on that one by a tick! I’m letting this sucker run and keeping my stop at break/even for now.


CAD/JPY – stop out with tiny profits as it turned on a dime. Keep an eye on this one guys – I love the context on the daily and we are now back at the 25-day SMA plus a few Net-Lines. Perhaps you’re able to grab this one long above the SMA or short below it.


ZF – that was a very speculative entry but it’s slowly grinding higher. Stop now at 118.200 – very comfortable to keep this one running while I’m stuck at 35,000 feet.

And that’s me signing off here in Europe. You are in good hands (i.e. Scott) and our open positions are flashing green. Subs – everything is running as usual and I’m going to put up new Thor setups (if there are any) in the next hour. However if there are any unforeseen problems then you’ll have to wait around 24 hours before you’ll hear back. Alright, that’s it for now – I (hopefully) see you all state side.

It’s not too late – learn how to consistently bank coin without news, drama, and all the misinformation. If you are interested in becoming a subscriber then don’t waste time and sign up here. The Zero indicator service also offers access to all Gold posts, so you actually get double the bang for your buck.


Day Of Truth

I’m running a bit late this morning as I have been shifting my circadian rhythm over the past week and am already operating/living on Eastern time. Fortuitously the change to daylight saving time yesterday works hugely in my favor as it shaves off yet another hour in preparation to my journey to Los Angeles.

It seems that we are at important turning or inflection points across various markets so I expect this to be a turbulent week. Some of you senior rats recall that every time the Mole travels we seem to experience big moves – so let’s see if my streak continues ;-)


The E-Mini managed to bounce toward its 25-hour SMA where it seems to meet resistance. We don’t have much context on this one right now but the NLSL at 2066.25 should be considered the gate to a significant drop lower. I am keeping my short positions as is and have moved my stop to break/even.


NQ futures look quite a bit more bearish this morning as we’re back near last week’s lows. Keep an eye on this one as it may be our canary in the coal mine in all things equities. However the reason why I titled this post ‘Day Of Truth’ is that the follow up days are the true measure of assessing potential trend changes. This thing has to continue lower today or, as we have seen so often, support will start establishing itself courtesy of a lackluster or sideways session. The onus is now on the bears to lead this lower. Watch the Zero for signs and/or lack of participation in either direction.


Cable – I want to be long above 1.512 – stop below 1.507.


Gold – I’m short here with a stop above 1175. The odds for a bit of whipsaw here are pretty significant which is why I’m only attributing 1/4R.

More below the fold – please join me in the lair:

More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

Alright – that should keep you guys busy for a while. See you guys later this afternoon.


Is It Summer Already?

Temperatures over here in Spain are slowly crawling higher and the locals are busy preparing for the annual onslaught of UV deprived Northern Europeans (and a few Americans as well). Down here at the lair air massive air conditioning units are running in overdrive as my charting/reasoning abilities degrade inversely with every degree Celsius higher on the scale. There has been very little activity here yesterday and the tape did its best to keep everyone bothering to pay attention bored to tears.

However when the bus is empty it often winds up picking up speed. Although I’m getting concerned on a medium to long term basis equity futures are looking solid here on a short term. If you are ever looking for a textbook example of a clean diagonal with nicely separated touch points then look no further than the E-Mini futures today. If I don’t wind up heading to the beach or gym then I will probably grab a long position if we retest that diagonal.

What I like about it in particular is that the 25-hour is merging with it right now and that gives us dual support. Put your stop a handle below and don’t play more than 1/2R – if it pops it’ll be worth the hassle. However if we wind up gyrating sideways again don’t waste your time – you’ll probably get a pretty good idea of where we’re heading in the first hour of the NYSE session. If in doubt consult the Zero indicator, which by the way was flatlining most of yesterday.

The NQ dons a similar pattern and although I would follow the ES it may be worthwhile to split your 1/2R between those two. It’s always good to see those two get into alignment when things are looking bullish.

EUR/USD – I’m going to play a tiny position here (1/4R) with a stop below the recent low. It’s a speculative entry – a bit of a lottery ticket based on an early formation. Those patterns either take off like gangbusters or die in their cradle – we should know soon.

Believe it or not the damn ATM here in Valencia has starting to print derogatory Dollar jokes on my paper receipts. We expats get no respect over here!

A few more Forex goodies waiting below the fold – please step into my lair:

More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

Have fun but keep it frosty – also expect low participation tape banging which means don’t be too stingy with setting your stops.


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