Long Term Update

It’s been a while and today seems like a good day to catch up with our long term charts. In general it seems like we have touched major lows in various key markets – most importantly on the Euro and crude front. The former much to my chagrin of course – how much I have enjoyed the favorable exchange rate and I’m not looking forward to seeing that change. Alright, let’s cover some major symbols, starting with equities of course:

2015-02-19_spoos_update

The long term panels on the S&P futures look in pretty good shape at this point, however it seems that we remain pinned below our weekly NLBL at ES 2088.75. It would be preferable to overcome this one by tomorrow as it would issue a weekly buy, thus almost guaranteeing new highs and a final departure from a two month trading range spanning over 100 handles.

2015-02-19_SPX_PNF

The SPX point and figure however shows a lot of positive evidence – in particular I like that support cluster near 1990 which in the future should provide some very solid support during any attempts to drag equities lower. On the long term chart we already have strong context courtesy of the 25-week SMA which has been attacked several times in the past months but managed to remain intact. However I must point out that this is the first horizontal defense line in a long time – which means the trend is weakening and most likely in its late stages.

In summary the bulls remain large and in charge here and if you’re holding long term then there is no reason to second guess the advance, despite all the bearish musings across the financial media and blogosphere. Yes, the bulls were in big trouble a few weeks ago but managed to throw a last minute Hail Mary. So far it’s working and until we see signs of exhaustion again the bear goes back into hibernation. He had his chance and he blew it.

2015-02-19_gold_LT

Gold looked like it was ready for take off and then suddenly deflated like a French soufflé. Quite frankly the gold bugs are in big trouble here and if we breach through that 100-week SMA and below the NLSL at 1130 there’s no telling how low it’ll go.

2015-02-19_gold_PNF

The P&F totally agrees it seems as the bullish PO is still a possibility but signals a high pole reversal warning which is about to turn into a sell signal. The gold bugs are on notice here and perhaps in a few days we’ll have a chance to take out a few lottery tickets to the long side. As I said – below 1130 we may just fall off the plate. Until that happens the long side is worth a shot as I expect 1130 to be defended fiercely.

More LT musings below the fold – please join me in the lair:


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Cheers,

Setups Setups Setups

Way too much chatter on this board and way too little hands on trading. Almost none of you are riding this higher due to either a) lack of effort b) propensity for mental masturbation or c) trying to make predictions. Seriously? After six years plus of Evil Speculator goodness I expect a lot more from you guys. So once again, let me show you how it’s done:

2015-02-12_spoos_update

The bulls are clearly back in charge here as we have crossed all bullish inflection points and are now squeezing the tape higher. What I like in particular here is that the upper 25-day BB is now starting to point up, which means there’s almost nothing but air above. Well, I said almost – there is a weekly NLBL at ES 2088.75 but we just sliced through the one at 2062.25 and may have enough velocity to push it over the edge. That said – tomorrow is the last session ahead of a three day weekend (PrezDay) – and I have an inkling we’ll park up here and leave any remaining bears to roast for a few days.

2015-02-12_UVOL

Bots clearly in buy mode – look how smooth the UVOL line is climbing today. The squeeze is on! Heck, I’m just glad we are finally outside that dreaded trading range we’ve been locked in for over a month. The human sacrifice I offered the other day seemed to have appeased Mrs. Market. Gold Gerb – thanks for taking one for the team – you will be missed.

2015-02-12_Thor_NQ

Boy, I almost didn’t catch this pig except for the ST longs on the ES I put on the other day. However Thor came to the rescue and the current campaign is about 0.75R away from its target.

2015-02-12_setups

I promised setups galore, so step right into the lair – we even have a VIP section. And what happens in the lair, stays in the lair!

2015-02-12_EURJPY_setup

EUR/JPY – long here with a stop below the 100-hour SMA. It’s still early in the game but there is a good chance that the 25-day SMA remains in place. 1/2R only – if she goes we probably get a runner.

2015-02-12_crude_setup

Crude – long above the 100-hour SMA with a stop below 50. 1/2R only – I do love the formation on the daily but we cannot exclude the potential for more monkey business as there are too many eyes on this symbol.


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Alright, that ought to keep you rats entertained for a while – have at it and hopefully I see a bit more participation in the comment section. The Mole deserves better!

Cheers,

SPOOS2K

Welcome back to the jungle! Equities are still dangling by a thread here and the short term chart shows us a binary entry opportunity on the spoos which I intend to throw 1/4R at (I’m still short as you recall).

2015-02-02_spoos_briefing

I think the 2k mark on the E-Mini is our big line in the sand now. If you want to be short then you’ve got the 25-hour and a NLBL  at 1996 just above you. If that’s breached and held then I think we’re sending the monks on yet another ride around the roller coaster.

2015-02-02_events

By the way, watch out around 10:00am EST this morning as we’re getting the ISM numbers for January. Should be good for a little jolt or two.

I was able to dig up two more short term setups this morning but am keeping those for my intrepid subs:


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Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

You have been briefed – now have fun but keep it frosty. See you guys later this afternoon.

Cheers,




    Zero Indicator


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