Picking Up Pennies Behind Steamrollers

The Ozzie RBA announced their interest rate decision early this morning when you seppo rats were still in deep slumber. Not much of a surprise move really – the expectation was 2% and that’s exactly what we got.

2015-07-07_events

Now Skynard and his impetuous ilk hailing from their respective lairs down under seem to prefer doing the chicken dance in front of the Ozzie steam roller. Did anyone read my post yesterday on not taking risky setups in this volatile market phase? Dr. Kurtosis will make you guys his bitch one of these days. Why do I bother…

Now, as you know I myself enjoy preying on disorientated victims after the storm has passed.  Yes, that’s right – I kick them while they’re down and I do it with pride. Excuse me – which part of Evil Speculator wasn’t clear to you?

Before we start let’s once again point out that all the AUD related setups below should not expose you to a loss of more than 1.5% of your account equity. In other words – if you take more than one please split one R between them. Now let’s see what we got on the menu this morning:

2015-07-07_AUDNZD_briefing

Here’s the AUD/NZD and it’s in a very interesting spot as the 25-day is being challenged. I’m currently long but will flip for a short if it drops through 1.118.

2015-07-07_AUDCHF_briefing

AUD/CHF – playing the bounce and my stop is below 0.7012. If I get my way I’ll be out near the 100-hour SMA.

Two more setups looming below the fold for my intrepid subs:


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You have been briefed – now have fun but keep it frosty. See you guys later this afternoon.

Cheers,

Wait For VWAP!

A few of the hardcore rats and yours evil truly watched the Zero like a hawk this morning and thus managed to squeeze in a few longs near 2076. I take it most of you guys weren’t that adventurous (and most aren’t Zero subs) so here’s your next best chance to grab some long exposure:

2015-06-09_zero

Alright, here’s the script on how to play this: First you most definitely wait for a VWAP retest. Don’t chase it and wait until you see the white in their eyes. Most likely they’ll have some fun with it and attempt to scare the children a little with dip below VWAP. If you see price recover there or kind of hang around until near the end of the session, then a handful of long exposure may be good medicine.

BTW, this entry is by no means guaranteed. The bulls will have to run hard here in order to avoid a slip off the proverbial plate. We’ve seen an accumulation of quite a bit of technical damage over the past few months. That said – IF there will be a bounce then the odds here are as good as they’ll be for a long while.

2015-06-09_EURJPY_update

EUR/JPY update – I grabbed some adventurous longs near the 100-hour SMA yesterday and so far it’s looking very productive. Today we got a retest of my original entry but it seems to be holding.

2015-06-09_gold_setup

Gold – awesome awesome long term entry here today and I can’t believe I’m giving this one away. I’m long right now with a stop at 1174. Below that I’ll be short as I consider that its current Maginot line.

Two more juicy ones below the fold – subs only:


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It’s now 2:44pm Eastern and it doesn’t seem like you guys are going to get your VWAP test before the close. Which is why I post a morning update! Make sure you catch it next time! Hope to see you in the morning 😉

UPDATE 4:30pm Eastern: Looks like I was dead wrong about not getting the VWAP test. May actually die in its cradle right here. Well, let’s see what the close brings….

Cheers,

Kicking Off This Week

Today is another national holiday over here in Spain (Easter Monday) and thus I’m posting the morning update a bit earlier as usual as my entire day shifts around a little. As some of you know I have been coding the entire long weekend in order to complete a much anticipated CrazyIvan release. It’s pretty exciting stuff and I’ll be devoting an entire post to explaining what all the hoopla is about. But in the interim I have a ton of very juicy short term setups on the roster this morning – especially Forex is off the hook. So if you’re around it’s time to get busy folks – let’s wield the iron while it is hot:

Starting with equities – the spoos are holding nicely thus far and the 25-hour is carrying without breaking a sweat. There’s however the matter of that daily NLBL at 1,867.5 which expires tomorrow evening. As you can see the range of candles is getting smaller as we are approaching and it’s possible that we are going to see a little shake out today – very hard to gauge as it’s still early. I do however have a ST entry on one of its three futures brethren – but I’ll keep that one for the subs 😉

Here’s a nice one on the Forex front – EUR/CAD – nicely trending up and I want to be long above that hourly NLSL near 1.5288. My stop would be below 1.5215, putting it near that 100-hour SMa.

Quite a bit more below the fold – please step into my lair:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

It goes without saying that you should split your exposure amongst correlated pairs – don’t put 1R into all of them as you would be effectively trading the same currency with a higher R percentage. Alright, have fun but keep it frosty!

Cheers,




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