Pay Attention Now

I must agree with Skynard’s musing earlier this morning – we are about to see a large move on the forex and futures front. Equities are simply the tail being wagged by a big (and currently snarling) dog. Time to pay attention – summer or not – these are conditions in which to bank some coin.

2015-07-23_spoos_briefing

We are somewhat in limbo on the spoos right now but I think we’ve got an short term inflection point around 2114 – so if we push up a little I’m planning to be short until 2115 – long above that. Small position sizing here as I’m preserving my capital for much better setups (see below).

2015-07-23_EURCAD_update

EUR/CAD update – our evil plan is proceeding as planned and this is now officially a daily campaign. I’m trailing a respectable distance away to lock in a bit of profit just in case but allow enough room for a continuation higher.

2015-07-23_ZB_briefing

Bonds – I’m actually already in ZN but if you have an appetite for exposure I think the ZB is looking trendy this morning.

2015-07-23_natgas

Natgas – I’m short near the high of the current trading range. Actually I think this is about to breach higher so I plan to flip for a long near 2.93. As you know NG can move fast so I’ve programmed it all in for quick execution.

Quite a bit more looming below the fold – please meet me in the lair:


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That ought to keep you guys busy for a while. Enjoy the setups but don’t get over exposed – and I’m referring especially a certain reader with a shampoo like avatar.

Cheers,

Who’s The Sucker?

The ongoing advance in equities continues unabated and I would strongly caution you against taking out short positions until the tape delivers us evidence pointing toward a reversal. Statistics mean exactly jack during low participation short squeeze periods, which is a lesson the Zero has taught us many times over the past few years.

2015-07-20_zero

Just compare the participation on the way down to the tiny signal range we’ve seen over the past few sessions. It is quite normal to see larger signal swings once gravity sets in, but this lack of participation on the rebound is a bit suspect. And in my book ‘suspect’ is not a license for taking out contrarian trades – quite on the… well – contrary. Some of you old timers may remember Whispering Saul, a trading legend from a different time who’s among a handful of candidates credited for an old aphorism which should be heeded especially during earning season: “If you enter a poker game and you don’t see a sucker, get up and leave – you’re it.”

2015-07-20_spoos_briefing

Following that advice I remain extremely skeptical about the equities side – in both directions. The daily panel is losing a bit of steam here and we have the S&P and Dow futures lagging the NQ. Still, until I see signs of real price weakness I won’t be touching this one with a ten foot pole.

2015-07-20_spoos_briefing_2

And the best place to look for such signs would be the hourly panel. However thus far it’s trailing its 25-hour SMA like a boss. This could easily continue higher for quite a while courtesy of over eager retail suckers with grandiose allusions of an ‘overdue’ reversal. Not to pimp my own ware but I think the Zero will be instrumental in offering us early clues, so I’ll be monitoring it carefully.

2015-07-20_GBPUSD_briefing_freebie

Cable is looking like a decent long here although that diagonal I painted is falling. So I’ll only deploy 1/3R here and would be prepared to flip for a short position on stop out.

A few more goodies for the subs below the fold.


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Now have fun but keep it frosty.

Cheers,

Time To Bitch Slap Old Bucky

The Fed is pretty much running out of options at this point. Their current modus operandi is to continue pretending that they want to raise rates but without real intentions of doing it anytime soon. Every month we are being served another paltry excuse as to why they’re still hesitant or that they’ll assess their timing based on the economic data. Perhaps next time it’s the humidity or waiting for the moon’s phase to line up properly.

Which means that among the few tools remaining in their arsenal to to keep equities afloat is to stomp on the Dollar once it approaches escape velocity. And given the Greek drama the timing couldn’t be any better to stick it to those dreaded Dollar bulls. And that’s going to be our theme of the day. Not because I say so but because quite a few USD related Forex symbols have moved into sync over the past few hours.

2015-07-09_EURUSD_briefing

For starters I’m grabbing a long here on the EUR/USD with a stop below the recent spike low. If the 100-hour can’t be held then we’re going to see quite a bit more sideways churn or perhaps even a revisit of the recent lows.

2015-07-09_AUDUSD_briefing

AUD/USD is looking pretty juicy here as well and I’m long with a stop below its recent spike low. Also nice to see the daily far outside the 100-day BB. Now it’s still early days here but if this thing bounces it’s high time – if it doesn’t manage a reversal here it may fall off the plate and turn into a trend trade to the short side. So short positions on a stop out may be possible here.

2015-07-09_spoos_briefing

The E-Mini isn’t among my favorite charts right now but if I don’t talk about it you guys are most likely to ride me out of the lair on a rail. So here you go – a possible long setup on the spoos if it drops to 2050. May not do it though so don’t chase it.

More goodies below the fold for my intrepid subs:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

You have been briefed – now have fun but keep it frosty. See you guys later this afternoon.

Cheers,




    Zero Indicator


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    1. Fixing The Flaws In Fixed Fractional Position Sizing
    2. Thursday Road Map
    3. Volatility Wave Surfing
    4. Dangling By A Thread
    5. Paying Attention Pays Off
    6. Sell Off Thursday Wrap Up
    7. Pay Attention Now
    8. Setups Setups Setups!
    9. I’m Your Huckleberry
    10. Who’s The Sucker?