Tuesday Morning Briefing

Welcome to our morning briefing. Here we are reviewing short term setups ahead of the NYSE opening bell. If you are a scalper or swing trader then these setups may be of interest to you. As usual keep in mind that these are short term setups although they could be used as early entries for more longer term positions.

2015-04-07_spoos_briefing

The spoos have held their ground overnight and if that hourly NLBL holds up until the open we may be primed for at least a ramp and camp session (the ramp having happened yesterday). Anyway, thus far it’s looking solid but at minimum we have to hold ES 2070 (the 25-day SMA)  moving forward. Failure to do so won’t squander the bullish potential here but we may remain trapped in a sideways formation. Not a great way to spend spring, especially after we already have remained range based for most of the year.

2015-04-07_USDJPY_update

Update on our USD/JPY campaign which is progressing quite nicely. I’m moving my stop to the 100-hour now as I’m converting it officially into a daily campaign. If it manages to breach the 25-day SMA it may have enough mojo for a rocket move higher.

Hello Major Tom – are you receiving??

2015-04-07_ZB_briefing

Bonds – looking good here and I’m attempting a small (1/2R) long with a stop below the recent spike low at 163.26.

2015-04-07_GBPUSD_briefing

GBP/USD – something grabbed my attention here this morning. It’s looking like it’s primed for a drop lower but IF (and only IF) it manages to bust above 1.491 I plan to take out a small (1/2R or less) long position.

More short term setups below the fold:


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Alright that should keep you guys busy. See you guys later this afternoon.

2015-04-07_wwa

Before I go I would like to present this year’s Wacky Weed Award to Ivan Krastins who just dropped by this morning and thus proved utter invincibility in the face of a category 5 typhoon or however they label their massive storms down under. Well done Ivan – we are glad you are well and hope you will bestow us with many more years of cryptic contributions ;-)

By the way – buy his book or something – he needs to rebuild is straw hut in Vanuatu and chase out the crabs. Or donate here to help rebuild the island.

Cheers,

We Got Movement

We’re seeing an interesting failure on the equities side today – seems like it took a few people by surprise and so it should! Judging by the participation a large portion of traders has been locked out of the rally and participation continues to wear thin:

2015-03-03_zero

I’ve kept telling people to anticipate a sell off but to remain patient as I have not seen any technical context to hang our hat on. That may be changing now as this stab lower may not hold but will help us establish potential sell opportunities if it heads higher. Quite frankly that signal signature on the hourly Zero looks extremely strange and is starting to reek like distribution.

2015-03-03_spoos_update

The E-Mini isn’t giving us much right now and I wouldn’t chase this move lower.

2015-03-03_NQ_setup

The NQ however is looking juicy on an hourly basis – I’m thinking long 1/2R here if it drops by a handle or so - put your stop below 4430. The context is pretty good above that daily NLSL and it’s worth to BTFD here. However, that said – if stopped out I am grabbing a short position as we may accelerate lower. Also, if it actually continues higher I will be looking for short opportunities – but let’s address that when/if we get there.

2015-03-03_EURCHF_update

EUR/CHF update – this was the only one that triggered and it’s looking positive so far – this is the type of price action we want to see. If it manages to heave itself above 1.077 then move your stop to break/even.

2015-03-03_crude_setup

Alright – we got a nice list of setups today – here’s crude which I want now with a stop below 49.6. Now bear in mind that it’s still in sideways churn mode and it will test your patience. Which however may be rewarded in the near future. When crude starts trending it doesn’t mess around.

2015-03-03_crude_thor

As a side note – crude also seems to be a decent contract for trading Thor – here are the past five years. As you can tell it goes through phases – did very well in 2010 and 2011 and then went sideways throughout 2013 into early 2014. After which it took off like gang busters. There was a pretty lively discussion on the board yesterday on the topic of excluding badly performing symbols. This is an example of where I would not even think about excluding it – there is simply no predicting when it goes back into rocket mode again.

2015-03-03_gold_thor

Gold however has been on a rampage in the past give years, clearly there was less trending potential in the past two years but it seems to be back in vogue now – at least via Thor. Looking forward to seeing more of that in the course of this year.

Alright – more setups below the fold – please step into my lair:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

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That’s all I got for today – see you guys on the other side!

Cheers,

Ring Side Seats To The Freak Show

If you’re still paying attention to the respective musings of Mrs. Yellen or Mr. Draghi then you only have yourself to blame. The verbal diarrhea coming out of both camps these days is not only recursively contradicting but also lacks any real meaning as every sentence uttered has been carefully vetted to feature relativizing adjectives galore. Ambiguity and sophism reigns the day, which means any attempts of interpretation or extraction of meaning are doomed to fail. So don’t bother – just fade the noise and ride the tape.

That’s right – it’s a club and we’re not invited. However as much as I love and miss George Carlin I disagree with being pessimistic. The game is rigged – so what? Trading has rarely ever been this directional and this easy. And riding the coat tails of the banksters has been pretty profitable over the years. When it comes to trading you better leave your political opinions and moral convictions at the front door – trade what you see and not what you want to see. You know who you are and if you haven’t learned your lesson by now then I cannot help you – but you’re welcome at the other side of my trades.

2015-02-25_NZDJPY_setup

Speaking of which – NZD/JPY is looking like a great long above that NLBL. You can sneak in early above the hourly near 89.83. top below 89 and Bob’s your uncle. This one has definite runner potential.

2015-02-25_ZF_setup

ZF futures – the 5-year treasury notes futures contract: long above 120’165 with a stop below 120’20 on the hourly panel. My evil plan is to play a breach of the 25-day SMA. FYI – this one is about to roll over so you probably want to grab ZFM5, the June contract. Wow – how time flies….

Two more goodies below the fold for my intrepid subs:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

Cheers,




    Zero Indicator


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