It seems that, until the presidential election is finally over, we will have to resign ourselves to playing an extended game of pinball. Of course sitting the remaining weeks out altogether and going on autumn vacation is an attractive option, but my subs are rather unforgiving when it comes to slacking on the job. So I’ll be doing my best to guide you all though the unfolding mess to the best of my abilities. Be advises however that playing the swings during a sideways period can easily lead to over trading. Make sure you are aware of the potential traps and thus keep your position sizing to a minimum whilst allowing for large stops.
Yesterday’s low participation stop run on E-Mini came within a tick or two of my current trail which still sits near my break/even point. I assure you that there was no foresight or technical skill involved whatsoever and I’ll ascribe it to pure luck. We’ve had quite a bit of that in the last few weeks and it tells me that I probably shouldn’t push my good karma quota and treat lightly.
I’m having way too much fun this morning, which accounts for my somewhat belated post. There literally seem to be juicy setups crawling out of the woodwork and I just kept adding new ones while reducing exposure on others in order to reduce correlation risk. So without further ado let’s jump right in:
Not much going on out there and I’ve been slinging some code in favor of watching the proverbial paint dry. On the equities side we seem to be pushing sideways again which is a bit surprising:
The volume profile on the E-Mini is showing us inside quite a bit of activity and I didn’t anticipate this type of tape until 2100 mark. Then again it’s Halloween and quite a lot of folks are busy squeezing themselves into silly costumes in anticipation to get wasted. Now that’s a strategy I can get behind of!
Gold is starting to look a bit frisky here and I am looking forward to a solid retest of the 100-day SMA. Once that happens [...]