Wednesday Morning Briefing

Welcome to our morning briefing. Here we are reviewing short term setups ahead of the NYSE opening bell. If you are a scalper or swing trader then these setups may be of interest to you. As usual keep in mind that these are short term setups although they could be used as early entries for more longer term positions.

2015-04-15_spoos_briefing

Much to my surprise the spoos have held up overnight and my lottery tickets remain intact – thus far. I still consider a breach to the upside a very low probability but if it happens it’ll screw a lot of players as the ‘sideways range’ theory has been plastered all across the financial blogosphere. Moving my stop up to 2087.5 below that hourly NLSL and the 100-hour SMA.

2015-04-15_USDJPY_briefing

USD/JPY – still like the context on the daily panel I’m taking out a long here with a stop below the prior hourly spike low at 119.3.

More short term setups waiting below the fold – please step into my lair:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

You have been briefed – now have fun but keep it frosty.

Cheers,

Let’s Not Overthink This

Yes, in case you are wondering, we are seeing clear signs of distribution or accumulation. Which one exactly it is – well, we can’t be sure and my crystal ball is still in the shop. However that said, I don’t see anything disturbing on the momo front – at least not yet. So as usual I’ll have to go with price:

2015-04-09_spoos_update

Since we took this snapshot we’ve dipped down a little again and if you’re looking to grab long positions you may get a better entry near the 25-hour which currently sits near 2075.  On the short side it seems that the 100-hour should be our best guide at this point – it’s been tested and the 25-hour is also near. Anything between the 100-hour and 25 hour SMAs is limbo territory – feel free to grab positions but probably it’s best to use the extremes for inverse entries.

A drop below the 100-hour could drag us a bit lower but it doesn’t get serious until we breach the 100-day at 2057.5. I think from there the bears may have a real shot at dragging this beast lower. I’m sure all that sonds a bit confusing and frankly I can’t offer the perfect entry here either.

2015-04-09_spoos_daily_setup

Or can I? Of course you may simply play the daily setup which is a hammer (thus far) – be long above it and short below it. And in between you can play the swings at your heart’s content ;-)

2015-04-09_GBPCAD_update

GBP/CAD – taken to the woodshed, water boarded, and then disposed of – another great entry bites the dust. Bummer really but it was always experimental as the trend obviously remains to the downside.

2015-04-09_USDJPY_update

USD/JPY – here we are in much much better shape. I’m advancing my stop as indicated and am prepared to hold this sucker through a possible short squeeze. This in fact has been my approach in the past few years – get a seat early (i.e. via the hourly) in promising daily formations. This in fact is how I got into the NQ early as well.

A few setups below the fold for my ever intrepid subs:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

You have been briefed – now have fun but keep it frosty. See you guys later this afternoon.

Cheers,

2015-04-09_putin

(you have to be a sub to get this one)

What Me Worry?

I hate FOMC days – no matter if it’s the notes, an announcement, or just a speech. Usually the entire session is a waste and I rather spend my time attending overdue chores or just hitting the gym (did both today in spates). A few of my Forex campaigns have been taken to the woodshed overnight but except for two I got out at break/even.

Alfred E Newman

So I shouldn’t really worry and just let my campaigns do the talking. With that said let’s take a peek at the survivors and two of the losers – in no particular order:

2015-04-08_GBPCAD_update

GBP/CAD – I got super lucky here. I had it set to flip a few pips below 1.85 and somehow I didn’t get snagged. Looking good now and I’ve advanced my stop to the 100-hour.

2015-04-08_ZB_update

ZB – what a damn dirty shame on this one. I’m pretty certain we’ll see another break out attempt here and I got stopped out at break/even by a few ticks. Well, it happens, no sense getting one’s panties in a twist over it.

2015-04-08_CL_update

Crude – what a shame! Same sentiment as on ZB actually. This one is actually coiling up for a big move and I’ll probably work my way into an entry here again soon. Stand by – I have a feeling we’ll be seeing this one soon again.

2015-04-08_USDJPY_update

USD/JPY – didn’t break a sweat on this one – progressing nicely and I’ve moved my stop near the 100-hour.

2015-04-08_NQ_update

NQ – ditto on this one. It pays to get an early entry and if we can hold into the close we should be able to leave behind that 25-day SMA. Moving my stop below the recent spike low.

And that’s all for the day – no new campaigns – let the market digest the FOMC minutes first. Tomorrow is another day.

It’s not too late – learn how to consistently bank coin without news, drama, and all the misinformation. If you are interested in becoming a subscriber then don’t waste time and sign up here. The Zero indicator service also offers access to all Gold posts, so you actually get double the bang for your buck.

Cheers,




    Zero Indicator


    Darth Mole Alerts

  1. poll

    • How many discretionary trades to you place per month?



      view results

      Loading ... Loading ...


  2. NinjaTrader
    Kinetick

    search warrant



  3. recent misdeeds

    1. The Game In A Nutshell
    2. Filling The Gaps
    3. Greece Saga Precautions
    4. Furious And Furious Friday
    5. Dangerous Turf
    6. Forex Update
    7. Freaky Forex Fun
    8. Gold!!
    9. Knocking On Heaven’s Door
    10. My New Soy Based Diet