Long Term Equities Update

It’s been a while since we’ve covered equities exclusively and as the month is coming to an end this is as good an opportunity to catch up. As you all know I have been dangling the ‘late stage bull market’ carrot for a few weeks now and quite frankly I don’t see any reason to change that outlook. I have been very adamant about expecting a final exhaustion spike higher and believe that is already in the works. Now before you start piling into puts be aware that we may be weeks, perhaps even months away from a downside event. So hold your horses and for now just enjoy the charts in preparation for where we heading most likely later this year. Enough weasel talk and disclaimers? Great – let’s get to the charts.

2015-02-27_zero

Actually it was the Zero chart that reminded me that a LT update may be in order. Over the past few sessions some of my subs and myself have been noticing strange signal patterns suggesting distribution. It’s very much possible but quite frankly I don’t see anything on the momo side that would suggest urgency. In short – nobody can predict when things will take a turn but we are a bit early in the game here still. So let’s review the evidence:

2015-02-27_SPX_LT

 

First the long term SPX with my trusted weekly stochastic. I almost never use this indicator – except on the weekly chart where it actually works pretty well! Right now we’re scraping 100 but in this bull market this means nothing. Most likely we’ll see an embedded signal (above the 80 mark) for a while before we head lower here. So no reason to be in a hurry – again we may be weeks or perhaps even months away.

2015-02-27_SPX_SPXA200R

SPX vs SPXA200R – the latter is the percentage of stocks in the SPX trading above their 200-day SMA. Now that one is looking bloody well divergent and eventually there will be a price to pay. But I don’t think that we’re due just yet (watch how the market will drop instantly after Mole’s statement).


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Bonus Chart!

022615pump

This one is courtesy of Chris Carolan over at spiralcalendar.com – one of the few other analysts I follow. Chris graciously permitted me to post this chart which I not only find absolutely compelling but also appears to be in line with what I’m presenting above. See the delay in the response on the S&P? Ponder on this one over the weekend.

Alright – I’m exhausted and am desperate for my Friday treat:

beer5

Not her you deviant! I’m talking about the Hefeweizen – which is waiting and that’s my cue. See you guys Monday!

Cheers,

Awesome Thursday Morning Briefing

I’m in a brilliant mood this morning. We’re finally past this month’s Fed/ECB madness, many of the futures contracts have rolled over, there are setups galore, and I woke up to a warm and sunny spring morning with about 25 Celsius (77 Fahrenheit) around noon. Oh, and I almost forgot – the EUR/USD just fell off the plate – heheheheeee. Love and money is in the air!

2015-02-26_spoos_briefing

The spoos are flailing sideways below that NLBL at 2114.5 – isn’t it nice how those serve as support/resistance over and over again? Which is why I use them religiously for my discretionary trading. Anyway, I’ll be long above the Net-Line with a stop below 2112. However, the better setup this morning is on the NQ and that one I keep for my intrepid subs – sorry leeches!

2015-02-26_gold_briefing

Gold – also testing a NLBL and I want to be long above it – stop would be below 1214. I very much like the daily context here – very much actually. But not as much as I like it on another precious metal chart – again that one I keep for my subs.

2015-02-26_ZN_briefing

ZN futures – 10-year treasury bonds – I was about to enter here but then I saw a very quick drop lower. Which means now I’ll wait for a pop back above 128’260 after which I’m long with a stop below 120’180. I just looked at it and the odds for a push higher are low here – but if it happens I’ll take it for sure.


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Here’s a little goodie to wake you up:

I am on fire today – let’s have some fun people. See you guys later this afternoon.

Cheers,

Slow Drift Morning Briefing

Welcome to our morning briefing. Here we are reviewing short term setups ahead of the NYSE opening bell. If you are a scalper or swing trader then these setups may be of interest to you. As usual keep in mind that these are short term setups although they could be used as early entries for more longer term positions.

2015-02-23_spoos_briefing

Spoos are slowly drifting to the downside now kissing the 25-hour SMA. Which unfortunately remains largely untested/ignored so I won’t be dipping into any ST positions here.

2015-02-23_NQ_briefing

The NQ however seems to be more palatable and I’ll attempt a tiny 1/4R position if it sticks it head above 4444 – my lucky number of the day.

One more goodie below for my intrepid subs:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

Otherwise not much on the horizon this morning. So take it easy and don’t start grabbing entries because you’re eager to get exposed. We’re in churn mode across the front right now.

There ya go – this ought to mellow ya down a bit – and if that one doesn’t do it then resort to this ;-)

Cheers,




    Zero Indicator


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