Yesterday I touched on the increasing intra-day volatility we have been seeing lately, particularly in equities. Momentum and breadth indicators are still pointing upward, however a few early warning lights have started glowing and thus we should take note. But that only tells part of the story, what I find most disconcerting right now are very pronounced divergences between our three major equity indices.
Limbo tape – it’s what I call the annoying volatile sideways churn devoid of technical context we’ve been experiencing across the board since the beginning of June which has pushed retail into an early summer identity crisis. You may recall that it’s not the first time I’m talking about limbo tape and it probably won’t be the last. Now this may be a good time to once more remind everyone that we as retail traders have one principal advantage over fund managers or institutional participants such as trade desks or system operators.
It’s relatively quiet morning thus far which gives us time for another exercise in tape reading. This time we are going to take a more in depth look at equities and cover a few tell tale signs that tell us if and when the market has transitioned into another distinct phase. Let’s start with the Zero:
A final reminder that equity futures have now rolled into September, which is the official front month contract for the next three months. Time flies indeed! Before I know it I’ll be shopping for Christmas presents again and bitching about the cold weather. In the interim we’ll have to earn our keep, so let’s see if the brand spanking new ESU7 contract offers us a decent entry opportunities: