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May 3, 2016

A Cunning Plan

Equities are not looking so hot right now. Especially the hourly panel looks like a veritable war zones, with spikes, trenches, and traps resembling the Western front during WW1. So even thinking about a long position here most likely sounds just as appealing as any of Baldrick’s ‘cunning plans’ featured in the series Black Adder. As a personal side note – if you have been tragically born without a sense of humor then there may be hope for you. Just treat yourself to a season or two of Black Adder and I promise you’ll be the life of the party next time around. Either that or they’ll have you committed.

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March 9, 2016

The Long Road To Tenerife

Living in Spain affords you not only the pleasures of to the Mediterranean lifestyle, its delicious food, and enviable weather, but also offers you cheap and quick access to a vast number of popular holiday resorts. For instance Valencia is just a two hour ferry ride away from the island Ibiza, and if you’re partial to summer nights dancing to Euro trance surrounded by scantily clothed sun kissed women then you are in luck. Or so they say – everyone knows the Mole is completely impervious to such hedonistic pleasures.

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March 2, 2016

Bear Traps Galore

As I pointed out just yesterday: Nobody has a crystal ball in this game, and a ‘good call’ usually is the product of ample preparation combined with a generous helping of luck (that or a source on the inside). That said – we really avoided one big nasty bear trap there yesterday.

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February 29, 2016


Happy Leap Day everyone! Friday’s quick stab to the upside not surprisingly resulted in immediate rejection as the range between ES 1960 and roughly 1990 represents the bull’s Rubicon on the way to a new period of glory and fortune. I expect the bears to heavily defend this range plus we’re in side a low volume zone, so expect whipsaw on the way up.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Sunk Cost EffectSunk Cost Effect
    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Also known … more
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