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November 16, 2016

Top Of The World

The Dow Jones Industrial apparently channeled its inner Tenzing Norgay and managed to climb to new highs at 18900 and all that without the use of an oxygen mask. The S&P and Nasdaq remained at camp IV for now but I have an inkling that they’ll make an attempt to reach the top before we ring in the new year. Clearly very few saw this one coming and the ensuing short squeeze has been a sight to behold.

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November 10, 2016

E-Mini Wrap Up – 11/10/16

It’s not unusual to get a sideways session or two after a big move up and today we’ll cover how to read the early signs and avoid wasting time and trading capital on getting trapped in the gyrations. Most of you guys prefer the big moves and entry opportunities but it’s equally important to be able to recognize when to stay away.

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November 3, 2016

E-Mini Wrap Up – 11/03/16

Today’s session was a lot more tricky to navigate than the past two. We opened with a relatively bullish signal which however quickly dissipated and after some hemming and hawing near VWAP gravity quickly set back in. Great session to learn how to assess sentiment and participation after a series of selling sessions. It’s easy to get mentally locked into ‘business as usual’ after months of sideways churn where mean reversion is the name of the game. The dynamics shift significantly during a sell off and thus it is important to look for clear signs of a low (e.g. a spike low accompanied by a positive signal that remains for two candles or more) before jumping [...]

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November 2, 2016

E-Mini Wrap Up – 11/02/16

Pretty quiet session today, but what stood out was that the Zero Lite remained solidly below the mark for over 90% of the session. The strongest sell signal actually occurred during the final hour, which may indicate further selling ahead. If we hold here overnight then odds support an attempt to paint a reversal tomorrow. But if we slowly drop lower then things may get ugly.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Herding BiasHerding Bias
    Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a … more
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