Monday Morning Briefing
Welcome to our morning briefing. Here we are reviewing short term setups ahead of the NYSE opening bell. If you are a scalper or swing trader then these setups may be of interest to you. As usual keep in mind that these are short term setups although they could be used as early entries for more longer term positions.
So the GBP/JPY is painting a pretty distinct divergence right now. Not a reason to grab long positions but it’s an early warning sign that we may see a bounce today.
The conditions are favorable for a dead cat bounce at least – here’s the hourly SPX cash. As you can see it’s managed to hold the 100-hour SMA as I previously suggested. The SMA is still rising however and that puts the onus on the bulls to stave off further selling. Even if we see a push higher today however there is still the possibility for it turning into a dead cat bounce. We’ll have to closely monitor the internals today – so keep an eye on the Zero Lite for divergences and early signs of monkey business.
Here’s the hourly spoos in the context of my BBs – we’re somewhere in the mid of nowhere right now. What’s interesting is the tentative rising diagonal it’s producing. We may see a quick stab lower near the open to scare out some of the children – I don’t think the bulls are in real trouble until below ES 1916.
But we have work to do this morning, so let’s get rolling. Here’s crude which looks like a good buy above 107.39. Stop below 107 – and I mean below, don’t tack it right there.
EUR/CAD – attempt to paint a floor and although we may see a retest of that NLSL I want to be long above that 100-hour SMA.
If you weren’t a sub last week then you may be experiencing a pounding pressure in your cranium. May I suggest a dose of Excedrin – Oberyn Martell strongly recommends it. Less invasive (home-grown organic) treatment available below the fold:
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P.S.: No skulls were crushed during the production of this post.