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Top And Bottom Performing Stocks For Week #1
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Top And Bottom Performing Stocks For Week #1

by The MoleJanuary 1, 2018

Happy New Year everyone! We don’t plan on wasting any time so let’s review the performance of last week’s historical top and bottom stock symbols in the S&P 500. As you may recall these symbols are the result of parsing a database containing over 50 years worth of statistical performance data. The idea is to extract the prospective top ten winners and losers of the coming week purely based on historical statistics. The result is then sorted by liquidity and any symbol that is scheduled to report earnings or pass ex-dividend is being excluded.

How To Trade Along

Although being no guarantor of success, the long and short candidates posted here each week are intended to perform along their respective historical bias. One way of trading along would be to simply create a small one-week portfolio by buying the long candidates and selling the short candidates on Monday morning shortly after the open. There are no official stops or targets and all transactions are reversed Friday afternoon right before the bell.

For anyone who wants to keep track I have created a new WP category that allows you to pull all pertinent posts up to date. Eventually I’ll be putting together a summary spreadsheet once we have accumulated sufficient stats.

Results For Week # 52

Long Profits: ABX=0.0, KGC=1.65, WFT=6.65, RAD=-1.99, X=0.23, NEM=1.63, KO=0.64, MRO=0.18, VOD=0.13, GFI=6.17

Long Profits Total: 15.29

Short Profits: ROST=0.24, CRC=-13.82, EIX=3.05, XEL=0.29, OFC=-0.31, CMO=3.14, AXGN=-1.98, RGR=-1.18, MTH=-0.79, PRA=-1.06

Short Profits Total: -12.42

Combined Profits Total: 2.87

Total Results

I’ve finally produced a spreadsheet in my Google drive which shows us the entire P&L stats including adjusted totals, cumulative, and drawdowns. You can open it in your browser by clicking here.

Top 10 performing stocks for week #1


About The Author
The Mole
Mole created Evil Speculator amidst the chaos of the financial crisis in early August of 2008. His vision for Evil Speculator is a refuge of reason, hands-on trading knowledge, and inspiration for traders of all ages and stripes. You can follow him and his nefarious schemes at various social media waterholes below.
  • Ronebadger

    Happy New Year, Y’all! Can you believe that I just took phone call from a customer in my home office…he literally did not know it was New Year’s Day.

  • Mary

    Happy New Year Mole.

    How much effort would it take to clone a version of this based on day of month for spy, qqq, dia, and iwm? Or maybe the sector SPDR etfs.

    It should help the monthly rotation strategies determine when to rebalance.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    You should begin a screening process. Or charge more.
    😉

    https://therantommenace.files.wordpress.com/2013/03/288729371.jpg

  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    So explain what you have in mind. SPY is historically down in week x and you sell, if it’s up you buy? You’d only trade equity ETPs?

  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Chinese? Their new year starts in March I think…

  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Mmmh – you’re giving me ideas…

  • Mary

    Here’s my thoughts:

    Divide each month into day 1, 2, 3, …., 30, 31, etc.

    Accumulate the returns of spy, qqq, iwm, dia, xlf, xly, xle, etc. for each day of month.

    Of course only trading days would record results… no weekends, holidays, etc. no 29, 30, 31 for February, etc.

    This might indicate which day of month to enter and exit indices … or rotate between sectors ….

    This won’t help daytraders much … mostly swing or rotaters.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    Friday, February 16
    Year of the Dog.

  • CandleStickEmUpper
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    today? too funny.

    If Holiday – do not alert
    https://www.nyse.com/markets/hours-calendars

  • TS
  • TS
  • Ronebadger

    JERKese is more like it….old guy, I believe…we should have cut him off a long time ago.

  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Yeah yeah – just stick it to the ole’ Mole 😛

  • Julie

    SPX I have a target 2705 to watch for a strong pullback. Bearish below 2665. I read that Wednesday’s and Friday’s are statistically the best days for the market. Just saying
    JULIE

  • Julie

    Ronebadger I hope that he does not drive !
    JULIE

  • Julie

    Also the Monday’s following opex are usually down days
    JULIE

  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Yeah, that would be a possibility – and pretty easy to do in python. But I’m knee deep in projects right now so I’m not going to divert cycles to building day_of_year stats unless there’s a lot of interest. Thus far there has been very little feedback regarding this and I’m mostly posting these for my own stats which I intent to continue accumulating over the course of this year.

  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III
  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    FYI – I used to be active in the SW industry until about 2008. Had made it through the dotcom bust and then started consulting which paid pretty well but you were nothing but a gun for hire basically. They dumped your ass as soon as your project was up. Seen many people suffer through shit like this and it was heart breaking. People at the height of their earning potential being pushed out of the industry and being replaced by fucking HB2 visa replacements. I never forgave Silicon Valley and the rest of the IT industry for all that and vowed never to return. Have not regretted my decision for even a micro second since.

  • Julie

    Chief Same crap was happening at Intel. The U.S. workers training the H1B visa workers in Oregon. ……. Then guess who was laid off ! Terrible ! One of many reasons I left Intel. Intel claiming a shortage of workers in the U.S. Like Hell ! The U.S. is where high tech began and every university has degrees in computer science and related industry. Bastards !
    JULIE

  • Julie

    Mole The AFL-CIO did a study on IT in the U.S. There has never been a shortage of high skilled IT positions in the U.S. The H1B visa program lobbied by Intel ; Microsoft etc … was a ploy to reduce and suppress wages. The AFL – CIO study was a segment on the t.v. show 60 Minutes. The Bastards got away with it ! I am glad I am out too Chief !
    JULIE

  • CandleStickEmUpper

    Just messing with ya eh eh. Happy 2018.

  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Yup – for corporate America we are just cogs in the machine. Now I’m work 12-14 hours every day and loving every minute of it (well, almost – hehe).

  • Mary

    Yes TS. That’s kinda the idea.

    The 4 major indices would indicate timing of the general market.

    The sector etfs would indicate which part of the market to switch to and when.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • Julie

    Hey GG Happy New Year ! Got a question for YA ! Computing Level 1 – 2 and 3 for BAC. Darn if there was not a 2 for 1 split.Going to use the weekly high 2/1/97 at 125.35 and the low weekly 2/1/09. They are 125.35 and 2.53. The split screws it up. Should I use 1/2 of 125.35 which is 62.67 for the high ? Remember I am a blonde ! Lol !
    JULIE

  • Julie

    Nancy Kerrigan (ice skater) threw away millions when she said F%$& Mickey Mouse. How stupid was that ! I could not believe it
    JULIE

  • Julie

    RW Following them Baker Bros NYC. A new holding TTPH HMMM A pullback to approx. 5.50 – 5.75. Holding it’s up https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/3730d4e973cee21a28dee16606e64c1f8e364877005e0843daf323a2f7854857.png trending 21 ema Finding resistance at it’s 233 ema and trend lines I like this stock IMO has potential. Can’t go wrong hanging on the Baker Bros coattails JULIE

  • Julie

    TTPF 2nd chart showing Bollinger bands and Keltner channel. OBV holding nicely and SCTR goes above 30 on a breakout above it’s 233 ema which is possible also a buy along with a pullback to approx. 5.50 – 5.75 JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/4d201998bf01fb984b8a4ab75fcfc36b1e29d09cee87c5a446c6a0c33d9e0b46.png

  • Julie

    RW ACOR Another Baker Bros NYC New position. This MT Lass is following them NYC bros Let them lead the way and I be on their coattails. ACOR up into it’s 55 and 233 ema’s and pulling back. Very strong resistance 22.63. A break below the one lower trend line very strong support at 20.93 and 19.91. Julie be a watching JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/67577ce516c2a24fb21a7f264f0a7309bb6ffbedc5c58c51439061a7b97a348f.png

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    yes.
    but remember, each dividend from BAC reduces share price.
    so quarter-by-quarter 62.67 is adjusted,
    and now appears around $36.

  • Mary

    Hi Mole.

    What rules do you use to determine week number?

    This year is easy, but what if January 1 falls later in the week?

  • Mary

    Also, are you computing Friday close to Friday close?

    Thanks.

  • Julie

    GG BAC is going to e a great short as is INTC CAT and UNP. BAC overbought monthly ; weekly and daily
    JULIE

  • Julie

    GG I am not a waver . However UNP monthly chart 20 years sure looks like the 5th wave began January 2016 with the 4th wave retracing 50% of 2 – 3.$DJUSRR is overbought monthly weekly and daily. UNP monthly CCI(20) is at 204. 200 usually a pullback imminent Also UNP weekly RSI at 80 ! ! ! John Murphy of stockcharts says that the rails are one of the last sectors to show strength in a mature economic and business cycle. UNP has gone nutso since February 2009. Not chasing it now. Going to have patience and nail (short) a lower high. The lower high will be a bounce from an impulsive decline to it’s daily 55 or 89 ema’s. A corrective low and declining volume bounce is the one we want. CAT INTC BAC will exhibit the same pattern i.e. an impulsive decline to their respective 55 or 89 ema’s. Like a cougar we will pounce at the correct time
    JULIE

  • Julie
  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    @disqus_qkFlPoMLUZ:disqus “GG: I’m not a waver, but…”

    Famous last words… LMAO

  • StockTalker

    /NG has been a wild ride, reduced position size in half and letting her ride. Keying /YM 25k to short. Shorted /CL the last trading day off the year.

  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Yes, one of the strongest trending markets right now. Well done.

  • StockTalker

    Frigid temps across the US right now.

  • HD

    HNY! Mole, all. Let’s get it done this year!

  • HD

    “Thus far there has been very little feedback regarding this and I’m mostly posting these for my own stats which I intent to continue accumulating over the course of this year.”

    JMHO but the feedback that I have seen directed toward the stats has been consistent. Most don’t care for stats dating back into the 70’s. Let’s watch F this week. Barely 50/50 on +- for the first week and more significant – if you only look at last 20 years. F was a different company in the 70’s-80’s and the stock was very different. The stats for this bull market, past 9 first weeks, is interesting.

  • StockTalker

    Gold has been creeping, almost unnoticeable.

  • HD

    76* in AZ today

  • StockTalker

    Record cold in FL

  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III
  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Not a perspective I would dismiss lightly. If I had more time I would produce stats only over the past 20 years. But quite frankly I have other more pressing projects in the pipes right now.

  • http://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III