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December 19, 2018

Jerome’s Moment Of Truth

Between 2009 and 2016 not a single day passed without someone (rightly) bitching about the inherent moral hazard and long term implications of the Federal Reserve’s various QE initiatives. Which after seven long years and several rounds finally came to an end in late 2015, when the Fed cautiously signaled that it was ready to start raising rates again, albeit ever so gently. And since that announcement not a day passes without someone bitching about the Fed’s ‘irresponsible’ rate hikes. Go figure…

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August 21, 2018

Volatility Heading Our Way

Honestly, I have no idea how we made it through this summer largely unscathed (at least thus far), and -assuming you played along our setups – even managed to accumulate some more ill-gotten (and very politically incorrect) gains. A bit of luck didn’t hurt of course but for the record: we truly worked our butts off in order to squeeze whatever edge we could find out of an impossibly volatile and sometimes erratic market.

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July 31, 2018

Getting Hammered

And not in a good way, I may add. I just checked the event log for the remainder of this week and it looks rather petrifying: Starting tomorrow one market moving event after the other, and given the current frailty in equities the potential for continued hilarity can not be ignored. FYI – I didn’t include the core consumption expenditures report today as that one will already be priced in by the time you read this.

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May 23, 2018

This Week Is A Wash

As you probably are aware, starting today the remainder of this week is pretty much a wash as we are being graced with consecutive Fed, ECB, or BOE policy updates. Which of course means choppy tape and intra-day volatility all the way through mid Friday. Oh joy.

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