I was chatting with my quant buddy Tony a week or so ago and he asked me what ‘MOMO’ meant, which kind of had me stumped. In my mind it was an abbreviation for ‘market momentum’ but obviously this doesn’t make any sense. I was trying to figure out where and how I had absorbed that term and couldn’t figure it out. Nevertheless I have used ‘momo’ for many years now without thinking about it, which goes to show that we all fall prey to intrinsic habits and more often than not aren’t even aware of it.
Trading near important technical inflection points has good as well as bad characteristics. Generally speaking volatility expands while price either reverses or gyrates sideways. Both scenarios (volatile-corrective or volatile-sideways) are aimed at shaking out weak hands whilst drawing in new participants. The overall medium to long term trend generally defines the characteristic and vehemence of what can be described as ‘pre-resolution tape’.
Equity index futures managed to hold the line without much drama over the long weekend, and all things being equal this would be a good omen for the remainder of this week. Unfortunately the bulls are now facing a bit of headwind for week #8 statistically speaking.