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March 24, 2020

How To Thrive In Bear Markets – Part 2

In part 2 of this series I am going to dumb down a key aspect of bear markets that has largely remained unknown to the vast majority of retail traders. It is important to embrace the fact that while the gray unwashed masses focus solely on the daily gyrations of the VIX professional traders instead religiously follow an exotic construct called the Implied Volatility Term Structure (IVTS).

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January 2, 2020

Launching The Decade In Style

The teens are over and done with and we’re now heading straight into the roaring twenties. I know it’s supposed to be hip to be all cynical and black pilled these days; but let me be among the first to buck this nauseating trend and predict that it’s going to be an awesome decade for anyone serious about being successful – and most importantly the very few willing to put in the work.

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December 18, 2019

Drop To The IV Baseline

It’s EOY rally season and apparently everyone has been at their best behavior this year as Santa already has delivered in spades. At this point however what I care more about is what lies ahead for us, and given a technical vacuum at all time highs it may be worthwhile to take a look at implied volatility for clues.

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December 6, 2019

VIX Buy Signal Triggered

I have been posting here on Evil Speculator for over 11 years now but this is the first time I recall a VIX Buy Signal following a Sell Signal in such short succession. Can it be trusted? Did I miss the pre-Santa-Rally dip? Is it too late to load up on long positions? So many nagging questions but as usual the Market Mole’s got you covered:

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NEW! Market Statistics
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Blast OffBlast Off
    I know exactly how you feel. For weeks on end equities gyrate inside a 50 handle channel and suddenly we get a blast off out of …
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