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May 4, 2020

May 2020 Earnings Week

I burned quite a bit of time fiddling with my earnings parsers this morning, so this post will be quick and snappy. But in a nutshell I was trying to write a Thinkscript indicator that would plot only the front week IV but ended up drawing them manually as their API documentation sucks blocks. Hopefully TOS support will sort me out by next earnings season as it’s a royal PITA. Anyway, the opening bell is only a few minutes away, so let’s get to this week’s goodies:

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April 27, 2020

Let’s Crush Some Vega

The only thing that retail traders love more than earnings season is to endlessly debate the direction of how each issue may resolve. Now if you intent to BUY stock at a discount then waiting for a negative announcement and purchasing shares before the rebound can – on average – work out famously during bull markets. However when it  comes to profiting from earnings via speculation the name of the game is not to pick a direction, rather it’s to profit from a large stock price move no matter the direction.

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March 24, 2020

How To Thrive In Bear Markets – Part 2

In part 2 of this series I am going to dumb down a key aspect of bear markets that has largely remained unknown to the vast majority of retail traders. It is important to embrace the fact that while the gray unwashed masses focus solely on the daily gyrations of the VIX professional traders instead religiously follow an exotic construct called the Implied Volatility Term Structure (IVTS).

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January 2, 2020

Launching The Decade In Style

The teens are over and done with and we’re now heading straight into the roaring twenties. I know it’s supposed to be hip to be all cynical and black pilled these days; but let me be among the first to buck this nauseating trend and predict that it’s going to be an awesome decade for anyone serious about being successful – and most importantly the very few willing to put in the work.

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NEW! Market Statistics
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Recency BiasRecency Bias
    Over the past two months we have been navigating some pretty volatile tape which in the process offered us several swing trading opportunities. As a result I have been …
Let’s Crush Some Vega
How To Thrive In Bear Markets – Part 2
How To Thrive In Bear Markets – Part 1
The End Of An Era
Scary Setups
Dirty Capitalist Pig’s Guide On How Bull Markets End