E-Mini Swing Trading
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February 26, 2018

The Squeeze Is On

Happy Monday everyone! I am happy to report that several of the entry opportunities I posted last Friday are faring well with hopefully more ill-gotten gains beyond the horizon. On the equities side the E-Mini is getting ready to put the squeeze on whoever remains short at this point. And let me tell you right now – if you are a bear, or are still holding short, you are probably not going enjoy this post.

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December 4, 2017

Mind The Booby Traps

The equity market in particular has become extremely good at luring and then trapping people into highly volatile reversals. Which especially is true for those rare moments when we may be tempted to  trade against the prevailing trend, which of course continues up, up, and then up. Given the increasing number of traps placed in front of us on a weekly basis I have a hard time imagining how anyone could succeed trading equities on a long term basis without the aid of some sort of participation measure (a.k.a. market lie detector) as for example our very own Zero indicator:

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December 1, 2017

Friday Lottery Ticket

I probably should be easing up on my meds as I have started seeing short opportunities and you all know how that usually ends up. Except of course when Bitcoin once again goes stratospheric and then instantly crashes as it did on Wednesday literally an hour after I posted about that very scenario. Clairvoyance you wonder? I very much doubt it as I never win anything. But I have developed a pretty keen sense of human nature, which fortunately is a lot more reliable than the financial markets. When in doubt during a buying frenzy always bet on the woodshed.

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November 8, 2017

State Of Volatility

Market volatility in all shape and form has over the years turned into a personal passion and lies now at the heart of my current system development efforts. There are several reasons for this, the first most likely being one you probably have heard about before, which is that volatility appears to be a lot easier to predict than market direction. Your mileage of course, as with all things in life, may vary considerably plus as you slowly embark on peeling this onion you’ll discover there are many layers hiding below the surface.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Anchoring And The BandwagonAnchoring And The Bandwagon
    I’ve been tangentially following the news at a safe distance over the past week and frankly felt tempted to pinch myself every once in a while, just … more
State Of Volatility
Statistics Galore
Fooled By Randomness
Ten Protocols For Surviving Extreme Volatility
Quantutorial – Standard Deviation
Quantutorial – Garbage In Garbage Out