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November 16, 2018

Conflicted

Things are getting more tricky again on the equities side. If you followed along in the comment section during yesterday’s session then you know that I took out a long position courtesy of our famed Zero indicator, which stepped up the occasion and cut through all the noise as usual. This morning the main question for me was whether to hold long or to exit and consider taking out a short position.

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July 31, 2018

Getting Hammered

And not in a good way, I may add. I just checked the event log for the remainder of this week and it looks rather petrifying: Starting tomorrow one market moving event after the other, and given the current frailty in equities the potential for continued hilarity can not be ignored. FYI – I didn’t include the core consumption expenditures report today as that one will already be priced in by the time you read this.

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February 26, 2018

The Squeeze Is On

Happy Monday everyone! I am happy to report that several of the entry opportunities I posted last Friday are faring well with hopefully more ill-gotten gains beyond the horizon. On the equities side the E-Mini is getting ready to put the squeeze on whoever remains short at this point. And let me tell you right now – if you are a bear, or are still holding short, you are probably not going enjoy this post.

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December 4, 2017

Mind The Booby Traps

The equity market in particular has become extremely good at luring and then trapping people into highly volatile reversals. Which especially is true for those rare moments when we may be tempted to  trade against the prevailing trend, which of course continues up, up, and then up. Given the increasing number of traps placed in front of us on a weekly basis I have a hard time imagining how anyone could succeed trading equities on a long term basis without the aid of some sort of participation measure (a.k.a. market lie detector) as for example our very own Zero indicator:

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NEW! Market Statistics
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Confirmation BiasConfirmation Bias
    When equities turns volatile each added gyration serves to stir the collective emotional cesspool of market participants. An unfortunate cognitive bias we as human beings all share is … more
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