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January 19, 2018

Tickling The Dragon’s Tail

So we’re going to do a momo update today and I think it’s going to blow your mind. But first let me briefly explain what happened this morning which led me to look at those momentum and volatility charts in the first place. If you may recall yesterday’s lottery ticket on the E-Mini went bust by just a tick or two after which the SPX actually ended up bouncing back.

So I look at UVOL and it looks pretty damn bearish except of course for the late session candle painting pump. So of course I’m starting to wonder if we may be sloping over in the near term future, because with the Dollar heading into Italian Lira territory we should have busted [...]

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October 27, 2017

And The Pitcher Keeps Going To The Well

Alright, so it’s time we take a closer look at the situation across equities. Which is annoying me to no end to be honest any natural laws involving gravity seemingly have been abandoned. It’s not that I want this market to fall as trading up is usually a lot easier than trading down. But while uni-directional market may look like fun on the surface, unless your name is Bill Eckhard it’s a major pain in the rectum for most traders who don’t enjoy buying on the way up.

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October 24, 2017

Second E-Mini Helping

As you probably have already surmised my long campaign on the E-Mini finally met its maker during yesterday’s shake out session. No complaints whatsoever as I was able to lock in 3.5R in juicy profits, thus offsetting most of the pounding I had received on the futures and forex side. But as there is no rest for the wicked I am up early and as usual – to no good 

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October 4, 2017

Early Fall Market Momo Update

The third quarter is officially on the books and that means we are now finally entering the most profitable trading period of the year, at least statistically speaking. As with everything in life your mileage may vary. Since it’s the beginning of a new month this we should once again take step back and look at the characteristics of the ongoing market phase in terms of volatility, momentum, as well as market breadth.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Cognitive DissonanceCognitive Dissonance
    I had to think long and hard about what exactly to post today without insulting at least half of my readership. As you know I have … more
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