Whenever participation on the board dies down I pay extra attention as market fatigue usually suggests a profitable move is just beyond the horizon. Yesterday’s session in the E-Mini was anything but exciting, however it served us a nice support range in which I managed to place a long entry. I hope you guys can shake off your mid summer trading blues as promising entry opportunities are popping up all over the place right now. As the saying goes – the early bird catches the worm.
The Dollar is really taking it on the chin this morning and this may be just the beginning as I see a good number of crosses push into possible short term trending action (bearish on USD base crosses, e.g. EUR/USD, and bullish on USD counter crosses, e.g. GBP/USD). Clearly the Fed is going to fight this, as a weaker Dollar is beneficial to appreciating equities.
Apologies for the sporadic posts recently but I have been bogged down with various technical and administrative issues in recent days which command way too much of my attention. Suffice to say I’m running low on patience, anti-depressants, and duct tape.
However the tape waits for no man (or woman) and it’s time for us to pay attention again. If you are still long then I suggest you do nothing and put your stop below 1966.25, which in my mind is our bullish/bearish inflection point. If we drop below that then we most likely do a retest of the 100-hour SMA which has ascended to ES 1930. Whether or not we’d be long there depends on the velocity of the [...]
Rejoice ladies and leeches – it’s that time of the month – FOMC Wednesday is upon us again. Which is our collective cue to hunker down and wait for the obligatory wave of volatility to wash over us. I swear, every time I see that one on tomorrow’s event roster my eyes glaze over.
So let’s cut through the crap, shall we? I’ll be happy to tell you in advance what’s going to happen. Yellen is going to deliver her usual litany of reasons for not raising interest rates (namely a shitty economy based on cooked books, fudged numbers, and of course low employment participation) whilst continuing to dangle the magic hike carrot in the [...]