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Counting Wiggles

Counting Wiggles

by The MoleOctober 27, 2009

The bulltards are trying to hold the 1060 mark and, bearish as I am, I can’t help but think that they might succeed short term at least – not liking that big divergence on the Zero Lite right now. Okay, I was completely swamped last night and thus unable to post an updated wave count – we can’t have that!

So, the tape of the past few days offers us two main scenarios right now:

  • Soylent Orange – which is what the bears seem to be salivating over and the bulltards appear to sell into based on the recent distribution patterns. We are inside a Minuette (iii) of Minute {i} of Minor 1 of Intermediate 1 of Primary {3} of Cycle wave c. Which means we should not meander around here for long and proceed towards the 1045 mark for a little bounce, more drop, and then the expected pull back into Minute {ii}, a.k.a. as the last good chance for us bears to back up the truck.
  • Soylent Blue – the bulltards’ favorite. We faked out the bears once more by touching an important trend line via Minute {b}, which constitutes today’s low at 1060.78. We are now pushing up to complete Minute {c} of Minor C of Intermediate (Y) of Primary {2} of Cycle wave c.

Yes, this is probably the toughest time to pick a direction – we have NO confirmation yet. The good news is that we shall know fairly soon. If 1091.75 is breached the odds swing back towards the blue scenario – until that happens we currently expect the downtrend to continue. However, if we start seeing strong candles to the upside in combination with increasing breadth and a strongly positive NYSE A/D ratio then that might be a precursor to more upside. Let’s also keep watching the Zero for participation and to gauge the strength of whatever wiggles we might get for important hints as to which way we might swing. For instance, what I do NOT want to see are bullish divergences as the one I warned my Zero subs last night. So stay on guard, my stainless steel rats – the party for the bulltards might not be over just yet. If we complete a perfect 5 here and we then bounce the odds for the beginning of bull hunting season would increase tremendously.

11:20am EDT: Interestingly we are seeing equities trying to make a run for it whilst the Dollar is running stops for breakfast:

[some content removed upon 3rd party request]

Either way – we are obviously close to that mark and it’s possible we’ll see a little zigzag to the downside, which incidentally might be exploited by our intrepid equity bulltards.

About The Author
The Mole
Mole created Evil Speculator amidst the chaos of the financial crisis in early August of 2008. His vision for Evil Speculator is a refuge of reason, hands-on trading knowledge, and inspiration for traders of all ages and stripes. You can follow him and his nefarious schemes at the usual social media waterholes.
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