Well I (volar) have some seasonality stuff for you too look at.
First lets look at the ole VIX seasonal.
I am very cautious about dip buying this time of year unless the probabilities are very high.
*** the VIX down and SPX down rule ONLY applies if SPX >200SMA. So careful with that one as there is no guarantee we close above the 200 today.
Now for the Rats,
More of Volar’s charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don’t waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber it includes access to all Gold posts, so you actually get double the bang for your buck.
First lets look at the COT data.
The Aussie has also found some money as of late…
Well that is kind off a “risk off” potential.
And the NAZ COT.
That is certainly NOT bullish.
Now on to some more seasonality.
First the seasonal momo.
Clearly we are pushing the boundaries, but this tells me to sell the rally in mid/late August.
And here is the “Index” of all years.
Here is the Call/Put momo as well.
Seasonality is what it is… dont fight it unless you have a really good reason.
Good luck trading,