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Out Of Office
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Out Of Office

by The MoleJuly 17, 2018

Alright guys, that’s it – I’m calling it a week. Watching this low participation summer tape is an utter waste of time. Clearly we are not going to see any type of resolution anytime soon, especially ahead of not one but two Federal Reserveย speeches scheduled for today and then tomorrow, both at 10:00am Eastern. That’s right, our venerable Fed Chairman Jerome ‘Kryptonite’ Powell is about to reach for the mic and when that happens usually hilarity ensues.

I am tempted to ask what we have done to deserve this much punishment but at least in my case it’s probably best not to delve too deep into that topic. Besides I have a bad reputation to uphold.

My E-Mini campaign is hanging by a thread at this point but miraculously survived several stabs lower overnight. The odds of surviving Powell’s speech two times in a row are slim at best, so I guess we can call this a 2.5R win. Which in these market conditions should be considered a feat tantamount to putting an overweight claustrophobic incel on the moon.

From all the charts on my radar the USD/JPY is the most promising looking right now. Although the odds of a break out move are fifty/fifty the potential reward is worth a small long position here with a stop < 111.90.

But let’s be clear: This is a typical trend trading entry guys like Bill Eckhard or Ed Seykota would get all hot and bothered about. The odds of success are about 35% which is typical for these types of entries.

Which is why I’m hedging this with another campaign – please meet me below the fold:

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Public Service Announcement

Most of you guys are either on vacation right now or voluntarily abstinent. And who could blame you? This is not the time to force matters and I’m getting a bit tired of telling you the same boring sermon each day.

So as indicated in my intro, I’m taking the rest of the week off as I’m eager to complete the production of a trading psychology video series for people who are still battling with getting their trading act together. It’s a topic I always felt very passionate about and thus covered on numerous occasions over the past decade.

Which means if you’re bored out of your mind and miss the old Mole then perhaps catch up with some of those older posts, as they are fairly timeless and thus offer recurring value, no matter if you’re a bleeding noob or a seasoned stone cold trader.

Alright, have a great week – see you next Monday.


About The Author
The Mole
Mole created Evil Speculator amidst the chaos of the financial crisis in early August of 2008. His vision for Evil Speculator is a refuge of reason, hands-on trading knowledge, and inspiration for traders of all ages and stripes. You can follow him and his nefarious schemes at the usual social media waterholes.
Enjoyed this post? Consider a small donation to keep those evil deeds coming!

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  • daverg

    ty for update

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Thanks Chief and Have A Great Rest Of Week !
    JULIE

  • Richard Adler

    Thanks. Will check out the posts. Been spinning my wheels lately. Have a great week!

  • http://www.captainboom.com/ captainboom

    Word of the day: Incel

    Had to look that one up. Very descriptive.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    USO 13.66 target on tap
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    BAC Targets 29.93 — 30.27 — 30.98
    JULIE

  • Mark Shinnick

    Covered short miners for time being. Covered 3x short fang: BMO REX MCRSCTR FNG INX 3X INS ETN

  • StockTalker

    Going as planned with the exception of crude oil. Still remain long though, by my count it is time to rally.

  • ridingwaves

    someone here last night bought NFLX ah and was playing the 10K different trades a day….
    sweet entry…I think they are up 20pps already….A real man of genius..
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ETrWZsYYJOQ

  • Mark Shinnick

    Looks like it made its ST measuring objective at the open….gotta open it somewhere I suppose.

  • ridingwaves

    I almost followed them in, almost makes little money though….

  • Mark Shinnick

    Hows the drv setup looking to you?

  • mSquare

    That was me who bought in After Hours in $345s. Yes, up decently and I aim to exit $370s. Raised my stops to $350s
    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=NFLX&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p96458848348

  • ridingwaves

    the 10 yr prop via foreign buyers is brutal for that symbol, had a great chance to break out when rates were over 3 and they just mugged it…..
    cap rates begin to erode up above 3 mark, thus the selling..

  • Mark Shinnick

    Yes, from 15.5 to near 9, pretty nice. Just broke its accelerated trendline.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    ..currently 13.85
    I’m a real man of genius!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nDxfBX_DVE0

  • StockTalker

    Looking for /NQ retest where a short will be taken.

  • Mark Shinnick

    I’ve got some objective now at around 9.8…but its the sudden rate risk situation that compels some sort of position.

  • Yoda

    I am buying the blood in PM miners because everybody hates them

  • StockTalker

    Timing is everything:)

  • Mark Shinnick

    I guess now would be the time but watch out keep it tight, lots of potential energy around here. I’m doing the shortside thing.

  • StockTalker

    At this rate /NQ may see a retest today. Retest and burnnnnnn

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    it’s not a bad spot. You’ve got a chance. & copper is holding on the daily. sort-of.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/2110287db5ad854e07440449c17d3e19dc9f29c8ede4bd2a5740e5ee082e13b4.png
    I’m waiting for throw in the dish towel moment.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • ridingwaves

    nice trade…way to pounce on it…

  • StockTalker

    Crude needs to pick it up, otherwise it may be in a W3. Looking for a 2 retrace here.

  • Yoda
  • Yoda

    Today’s ramp looks totally natural, LOL

  • Mark Shinnick

    Great stuff.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    Meh.
    political theater is a distraction
    https://uplib.fr/wiki/The_political_theater_is_a_distraction

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    ..just don’t let Scott draw it. ok?
    ๐Ÿ˜‰

  • HD

    GM Mole, all from Sedona. ES looks like classic whipsaw Wednesday. 89 traded, ramped ES to +10 handles. BOTs

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • HD

    Ha. I guess itโ€™s only Tuesday.
    USO got the hit .382 back on big volume. Pause next?
    IQ massive rally!

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    Wed (tomorrow) was suppose to be big news.
    The mystery remains, is the Market pre-positioning.

  • bankwalker

    Do you mean like cleaning out the massive amount of stops over head?

  • HD

    Agree. Break out fake out or fake out break out. See you then.

  • StockTalker

    /NQ close enough by my lens, now short!

  • mSquare

    Out with a nice profit of $30. Tempted to wait for more but trying to be disciplined.

    The 50day is in $374-ish and if it holds that on close, it may be a good spot to buy more tomorrow for another go towards $396 where the 20 EMA currently sits
    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=NFLX&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p95957436561

  • StockTalker

    Want to flip crude short but sticking to my plan.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III
  • CandleStickEmUpper

    I was just about to say, there is nothing behind this rip. Feels like a setup for a fall, $SKEW is quite high too.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    can you post a chart of what you’re seeing?

  • StockTalker

    -2 /NQ, blowoff material now.

  • CandleStickEmUpper

    A high SKEW reading such as now takes weeks to build, and historically has usually been followed by a drop in equities.

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/acc9de894e9e87caaf808f383e85b3cf4640a722a0eb43508232e23aabdb0bf5.png

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Thanks mate.

  • bankwalker

    Does high SKEW mean that SPX puts have higher IV than SPX calls?

  • CandleStickEmUpper

    You got it. I was going to overlay a chart of SPX but you get the idea!

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Sort of. Read up on the volatility smile.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    LOL

  • StockTalker

    Crude has emerged

  • StockTalker

    Had enough, flipping crude short now. Short /NQ-2, //YM-2 amd /CL-2. Crude is weak here

  • ridingwaves

    I just looked at that and that down channel so far does look like it’s done….make sense opex week to drop some hurt somewhere in here….

  • ridingwaves

    how does the weekly look?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    ST $WTIC and USO An impulse down … Looking to short a lower high
    JULIE

  • StockTalker

    7-17-2018, 13:39 hrs, bears turn to emerge from there captivity. Make America great again:) F the DA

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX Dipsters came in today a point above the 8 ema
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Your Slide Rock Park … Well we go to Jones Creek on the Wilson River in Oregon in summer. Of course we would not be drinking beer and be with boys ! NOOOO ! JULIEhttps://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/ce181601ad0a88f131f213b24ea0410d4347f88bcf4a22040c773c86b6e30478.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    stop trying to compete, we all know Bozeman rocks.
    ๐Ÿ˜‰

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    a large position higher up, the Algo’s are swimming towards it.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    VIX,
    there’s room to bang it lower tomorrow, IMHO.

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24VIX&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p70648087193

    Off to LUnch!

  • BKXtoZERO

    I may fit me some tomorrow…. Maybe even near close today.they sure are having a good time.

  • BKXtoZERO

    SLV is touching lower 2.0 Bollinger which has been a bounce point in the past. Bought remainder of silver position via uslv 8.2. I am 50% in fron 8.56 and the rest at 8.2.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    EXAS At 61.8% retracement and back https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/fdd3fb476d5cccb0599906dfdf833f7667aec9965de6111f2f1ae8a409dcc24e.png testing a broken lower trend line at an upper Keltner Channel. Watching closely JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Hi BK I have a very small position long GLD from last week
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GLD Lower trend line of a bullish falling wedge oversold with positive divergences RSI and MACD JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/85af03d5204f6914e5d3dd9037533a631ddc65959692ef664f4f4a7fec1b63d5.png

  • Mark Shinnick

    Trapped? justifying a Long?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    the daily divergence is apparent. every trader is seeing it.
    don’t try to front run it, IMHO.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Down about 1 1/2 pts on a very small probe Mark
    JULIE

  • Ronebadger

    Looking to pick a top here (SPX)…got a small short going…tight stop… MAJOR storm/front hitting Manhattan right now…but that’s got nothing to do with it…….or … does it….

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • ridingwaves

    ridingwaves Julie 35 – 25 – 36 a month ago
    staying away from gold or silver comments, not going to look at it until August…good luck…still a bit away….

    August is better month for gold…..not far off now….they are going to hurt gold bugs that said it can’t go lower……I can see the glee in the bankers eyes…..

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    Julie knows what to do, her trailing 5 day is probably sufficient.
    but you know cougars, ..very ‘pouncy’.
    ๐Ÿ˜‰

  • Ronebadger
  • BKXtoZERO

    Mole congrats on your long ES campaign. Moving up your stop. Leading by example over and over again

  • Ronebadger

    OH…yeah, it’s my 65th birthday today… How many likes can I get?
    (some birthday…I’m stuck at work for 9 hours…waiting for the storm front to hit as I get into my car)

  • Mark Shinnick

    Pretty good HY inflection setup right now. At the same time, short RE is relatively firming.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Happy Birthday Ronebadger …. At 65 quit work ! Give notice immediately !
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    in Manhattan? he’d be broke in a month!

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    time check.

    I’m outta here.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Walk – Hitchhike — Ride a bicycle – Skateboard – Horse – Swim … Anything to get out of there and enjoy life at 65
    JULIE

  • Yoda

    Mrs. Market is cleaning the slate before its next move. It’s OPEX week after all

  • bankwalker

    Happy Medicare Day!!

  • ridingwaves

    Feliz Cumpleanos Sir…..

  • Yoda

    Oh that’s a milestone. Have a good one old bear!

  • BKXtoZERO

    I didn’t know that bears lived that long…. Happy birthday dude!

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    guessing a bottom is fun, when you get lucky.
    use a trailing average for less excitement. (circle)
    RSI’s can go on longer, than you can.

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/c9f769944da0e629047467a48c7477d77487927e57ae623c0cf5b5c3776c83ca.png

  • Yoda

    Damn, how long before he’s shut down…
    https://www.liveleak.com/view?t=kzDxD_1531885111

  • Ronebadger

    Only PERMA-bears

  • Ronebadger

    I live and work in the burbs, but it’s an hour train ride to NYC

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    If you are reading this, you are a hardcore trader

    /NQ Monthly.
    Did *anyone* spot this???

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/0f7e4e54240f89850dec1f6a3694abb243650ba9d777e8a05fd8bdf32152c798.png
    -GG

    Off to Work!

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • HD

    looks like a 5 wave impulse to me, just sayin ๐Ÿ™‚

  • StockTalker

    Indeed!!

  • Mark Shinnick

    Shorting energy.

  • Mark Shinnick

    Whom? Why?

  • StockTalker

    Nice ride on crude oil, bowing out @ 67

  • HD

    $SPX finding symmetry in Time. A majority of 2018 has been spent under this price. W some events scheduled today and later this week I am expecting some V. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/40333630a3f8fa30e46d504fa5b450907d872999cae4657b0eabf96eadac7d7d.png

  • HD

    The Dennis Gartman of BTC is Peter Brandt. Major fade. Was pounding the table and ridiculing any sellers over 10,000 and any buyers < 6000. FWIW

  • StockTalker

    Would a drop below 2800 violate that?

  • Mark Shinnick

    Long volatility

  • Yoda

    Tucker for telling the way it is

  • StockTalker

    The div on /NQ 4hr chart is absurd.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    oh come on! I like the guy. he has a nice smile.
    ๐Ÿ˜‰

  • HD

    Not sure if I understand that. Think it should drop 30 ASAP

  • HD

    205,000 people follow him. LOL

  • StockTalker

    -4 /NQ now

  • CandleStickEmUpper

    Crash of Summer 2018

  • CandleStickEmUpper

    haha insane looking chart. Not sure how the contract rolls are baked in to one chart for 20YRs of /NQ but I imagine theres some exponential sloping involved.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Let’s see what the Banks do esp BAC BAC has now reached my 2nd target 30.27 ( 30.23)
    JULIE

  • CandleStickEmUpper

    Lot of banks reporting today as well:

    https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/earnings-calendar/us

  • StockTalker

    Sell high, buy low:)

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Very important … Your chart SKEW excellent … Combine your chart with $NYSI …. $NYSI falling below 400 results in a pullback …. Thanks for your SKEW chart
    JULIE

  • StockTalker

    BKX looks to be peeking out.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • StockTalker

    Aug to be very ugly me thinks.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys Here is an update on the “Hedgies” GVIP Watch for a bearish close below it’s 5 ema with a difference of 10 pts between the slow and fast STOCHS 10,1 JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/c58f80c22fe11a335cf313ecfa1a72e31dd5217fd44bfb1141481052a5617116.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    EDIT Miss type STOCHS 10,1 not 5,1
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Bullish period ended yesterday July 17 according to Tom Bowley of stockcharts.com. Now entering the most bearish seasonal of the year
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG … Remember Bathroom breaks for an update ! LOL !
    JULIE

  • BKXtoZERO

    L TVIX 36.5 intraday shot

  • BKXtoZERO

    ya….. I just got up.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    CAT Very interesting appears to be triangulating. A breakout to the upside targets 145 – 146 JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/8abf01337150d74fe9dd92ba70e6ba02562e61920ab56b491b187797adbf3dd6.png

  • HD

    10 handle rally from Powell talk.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    I’m not complaining ๐Ÿ™‚

  • StockTalker

    This pig is ripe bro

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Hi HD What is interesting is the talk of the flattening yield curve Bla Bla Bla by all the Gurus We all know what happens with this scenario . TPTB will pull a rabbit out of their Butt !
    JULIE!

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III
  • HD

    Very nice trade and kudos for holding it so long.

  • Darkthirty
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    EXAS Yesterday blew thru my 65.05 target … Now at 61.8% retracement JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/e633baa1f8d717b30b9c4a83cb0b278afdc01222d8183f38466e5142a8cd1c64.png

  • Yoda

    Anybody looking at PMs ๐Ÿ™‚

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX with channel and trend lines with Raff Regression Pick your spot. Remember the “Hedgies” https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/da5d29d1ce194701339098563dba65cf10a3719d07059faf1b309bfc6eb4d44e.png are selling into this advance today JULIE

  • BKXtoZERO

    long silver, added yesterday, stair step decline pattern being challenged right now

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    BAC 30.27 is my 2nd target 30.98 is 3rd target matching an upper parallel channel drawn JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/57877bb3c41e6724726184212cbad8255fadc464178f29449b4d77ad2b5bc614.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Several weeks ago I showed a 27 target BAC for the decline i.e. the lower trend line matching the weekly 55 ema. I did not buy and have missed this recent move in the financials. We just keep on moving … next 1,000 trades
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX I Smell A Rat ! esp with the “Hedgies” GVIP selling today. A break below the lower channel ; daily 5 ema and today’s low confirms the short …. This rally getting very “Stinky” JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/18953b827d8765dc5ee36fbb90a5f54104c42b481e0c7e65bc24b4a74534399b.png

  • HD

    The last beige book was May 30. 2729 rolled over, 30 handle hit. The one before April 18 was a little more exciting.

    Past performance is not indicative of future results.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Hey anybody watch America’s Got Talent last night . The guy thinking he is William tell and shooting the apple off the girls head last night ! What in the Hell ! That was too much !
    JULIE

  • StockTalker

    /NQ can barely squeak out a 5 min stop run.

  • StockTalker

    Time to pounce on her:)

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    The rally in the Banks very interesting … BAC could go to 30.98 target chart below as DB could go to approx 12.50 – 13 matching the daily upper cloud boundary and 89 ema. DB weekly 21 ema approx 13 Conclusion … https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/9acda0aa732cdf328f4535896a1850154f9fd177757b4f11833ef63d8b12b22a.png The Bank rally may have more upside JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    two girls, a fifth of whiskey, and some baby oil….that’s all you need to know.

  • StockTalker

    BKX just tanked

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    forehead slap, I totally forgot!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    ST My 30.27 BAC target may be good then . 30.29 is the high
    JULIE

  • HD

    Even the Fed is talking about tariffs.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    HD Do you see a possible minor ending diagonal now occurring SPX ? If so only a little more upside
    JULIE

  • HD

    Very minor, maybe minute.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    HD The “Hedgies” are on this … Julie hanging on their coat tails
    JULIE

  • HD

    Very resilient market imo.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    HD IMO The Banks are the key.. Watching closely
    JULIE

  • Mark Shinnick
  • StockTalker

    Wow, wtf. Just goes to show you how fake the shit is!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    HD Corrective three waver up for the Banks .. Posted targets BAC 30.27 and 30.98
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • HD

    Good eyes! 7700 is HWB too.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    two trains of thought.

    8,000 to 6,000 and back was a shake-out. 100,000 “here we come”.

    6,000 holders wet their pants, would love to get out at 8,000.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG I had a long USO and on Monday out for break even. Posted that I was now looking for a lower high to short on a bounce as the decline looked impulsive USO and $WTIC. I had a 13.66 target and 13.76 was the bounce. I did not short on Monday. Now USO https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/1d0e17b95536a85e6cc7fbbf2f2ffec3bb9b8969915396038b0c47c3cde1d003.png must have a bullish close above 14.13 on this bounce.I may go long on the 30 min chart with a bullish 30 min candle closing above 14.13 then looking for a shorter high on the bounce to short JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    my mistake. You said 13.66 target and price was dropping, so I assumed you had a position.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Last Thursday I went long at exactly 14.14 hit it on the nose. USO went up into 14.66 on Friday I held over the weekend On Monday a.m. it dropped and was able to get out at break even, Then I went to the sidelines watching for 13.66. The bounce was 10 cents higher at 13.76. The entire decline looks impulsive i.e. USO and $WTIC. GG Let’s nail the probable shorter high on this bounce. Again may go long on the 30 min above 14.13
    JULIE

  • HD

    Most have pinned crypto traders as idiots. /BTC is a very expensive product. Might be top 1% trading it. To me It moves in 1000, 5000, 10,000 waves.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    I envy your situation. I cannot intraday like yourself.
    at any moment I could be dragged off several hours for IT issues.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    I can think of one on youtube who got lucky. But I’m certain there are some very large whales (maybe even governments) swimming in that sector.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    I understand completely GG
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    HD and GG The chart pattern is a bullish falling wedge Just Saying
    JULIE

  • StockTalker

    All commodities are in agreement, dollar going to 102. Believe she is in a W3 right now.

  • Mark Shinnick

    Yeah…had the SHTF 10 years ago all the crap would have been washed-away in a couple of years…..and we wouldn’t have ?x the problem today. No damm wonder Socialism is gaining…younger folks were never given their natural chance to succeed.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    98 tops. but hey, that’s what makes a Market.
    ๐Ÿ˜‰
    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24USD&p=W&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p12992345671

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    ST and Mark The whole thing is a charade …. Phony as “Hell”
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Bathroom Break ! LOL ! Pull out the I phone in the stall !
    JULIE

  • StockTalker

    My kids will be fortunate but most do not have a chance in hell.

  • HD

    Fed announces 1,000,000 new NFLX subscribers per month. Ha.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG UUP a possible double top in a 3 – 3 – 5 pattern (don’t tell the Chief) JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/2ea42eddb64d60f9c19dd55cbd92fd661a223009dfbd615eb396eedeeb9b594b.png

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    I won’t squeal sweetie.
    But I can’t promise, if the Spanish Inquisition will appear!

  • StockTalker

    Shorting /CL here again, time for 3 of 3

  • ridingwaves

    XLF jumped the resistance congestion, not good for big move bears if it consolidates above it…berry picking bears might still be able to pick up some food here and there…

  • Mark Shinnick

    Dropped-out of my model’s consideration earlier this morning.

  • HD

    The real socialism already exists. TARP, passed by Bush, socialized all bank losses. At least the profits are still private.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    How’s my crew?

  • HD

    VIX 11, just shoot me.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Doing great Chief … SPX Going to hang on the coat tails of the “Hedgies” GVIP. They are selling today into the rally but still no close $GVIP below the 5 ema. It’s coming sooner than later
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    tried to warn ya. shooting isn’t allowed in Sedona.
    ๐Ÿ˜‰
    https://disqus.com/home/discussion/evilspeculator/out_of_office/#comment-3993511707

  • ridingwaves

    passed by congress, one of those never read the document rush jobs…..don’t forget they never renewed FASB-157-8
    Mark is right here, if we wiped out the zombie banks then and set up 12 regional banks to handle the credit, debit, cash, paper conduit, young adults might have a chance. Instead they fixed the Housing market to act like Britain on steroids to prop everything via taxes, paper and leverage…

  • HD

    Ha. Sedona was awesome. Lots of golf and hiking. New favorite signature hole. #10 at Sedona Golf Resort https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/8e00a7ce965e8b808a5e1334015a6608aeab74590d3165a6dad346d5b02f22d0.jpg

  • BKXtoZERO

    Not my favorite environment…. Everyone all happy n shit….. Waiting for VIX to be fun again.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    CAT Attempting the triangle breakout alludedhttps://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/3c71d8d5f815f76217ec6c0589f0e4a7776f70334f5b7689efac0f4a317ee40d.png to earlier in a chart shown below. IMO needs more volume JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • HD

    Agree. Credit unions is the way to go. 99% of people still bank w the ones that failed. Itโ€™s on them not me.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    CAT As stated previously 145 – 146 target with a successful breakout
    JULIE

  • BKXtoZERO

    All the Whos in Who-ville and smiling and singing and dining on roast beast… tooting their noisemakers…. oh the noise noise NOISE NOISE!!!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    The Bulls keep pulling rabbits out their Butt ! Next one gonna be …. Yup A Jackalope found in Montana and Wyoming JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/7814ec5b8cb7a9d961bdf8f6e9e725edb95b48faac378c2b19a5036a17473ff1.png

  • ridingwaves

    best to play it left…..I love playing golf when hot, loosen up quick….

  • StockTalker

    Lol, not for long brother

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    LOL

  • ridingwaves

    what is really weird is SPY has PNF weekly target price of 497 with double top breakout 2 days ago….

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    RW I am weak in PnF. Will learn
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    RW BAC and XLF The lower Bollinger Band has not turned up yet Just Saying
    JULIE

  • ridingwaves

    I wouldn’t bet against XLF right now, it might be the lead horse in this summer doldrums rally

  • StockTalker

    Come to daddy!!

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    So is everyone getting the VIXEN alerts?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    RW I am looking for more upside too Banks per charts shown today BAC and DB
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Back To Work Everyone Have A Great Rest Of Day. Thanks Everyone for your charts and comments. I am always learning
    JULIE

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    ANYONE??

  • ridingwaves

    nuts, I tell ya…..best to make almond milk while nuts are abundant…

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/b243a42f33b3f3c427de13db033f5bcaeb71acb37d4a5317bfd9fff884dd3e95.png

  • HD

    I missed that info. Very generous offer to have beta access. Youโ€™re a giver. I am not an email person so will not waste one of the 50 spots. Thank you though.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Well, a bunch of people actually signed up and the spots are almost filled. Those are the people I’m asking ๐Ÿ˜‰

  • HD

    Thatโ€™s great. Congrats.

  • BKXtoZERO

    Yes thanks! Depressing tvix target

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    What do you mean? There was no TVIX signal today, only the SVXY.

  • BKXtoZERO

    yes not today, I believe yesterday or before, downside target of 31! anyway, VERY cool of you… also trend alerts… cool stuff.

  • Mark Shinnick

    That last signal is supportive of my other models. At the very least this looks like a great adjunct tool.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • ZigZag

    yes, thx – been busy at work. but the gmail tip was great too

  • StockTalker

    Steady as she goes

  • StockTalker

    Dollar about to break out here.

  • StockTalker

    Lol

  • StockTalker

    Of coarse trading /CLU now, bulls may make a stand here, long

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III
  • StockTalker

    Okay, short crude again, this is starting to stink badly.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    We’ve got some sparks this morning!

  • Yoda

    Fake out move me thinks

  • ridingwaves

    Gold PNF target 1091 Silver 13….the bankers are in the weeds, beware…..you bugs are hated….

  • StockTalker

    Die you pig! Yes, commodities watch out! Dollar has consolidated and broken out.

  • Yoda

    that’s why I bought more PM miners at the open

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    RW My BAC 30.27 target could be dead on …. High was 30.29 … Will see how the day progresses
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    30.29 yesterday
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    The “Hedgies” GVIP selling into yesterday’s advance was important. SPX now below it’s 5 ema
    JULIE

  • StockTalker

    Have you seen copper lately?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Down … Down … Down Into the ring of fire
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX Be careful Bulls … In a reply to HD yesterday I commented on a possible minor ending diagonal SPX … If so there could be one more pop to the upside to complete
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    Every morning.
    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24COPPER&p=W&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p19247186583

    If copper & silver & gold can’t hold, why would miners?
    (hence the face palm below)

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    below 5 ema, now *that* I can understand.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    you ever eaten at Montana Ale Works?
    my boss says they have a pork chop to DIE for.
    (he’s an avid fisherman)

  • StockTalker

    Bulls will concede, they are sweating bullets at this mark.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG The “Hedgies” are selling so far today and below the 5 ema. USO now at it’s 21 ema Let’s watch 14.47 for the shorter high on the bounce. However USO could fail here at approx 14.28 Watching closely GG. BAC too 2nd target 30.27 achieved yesterday ( high 30.29) Things are getting very interesting GG
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    or MARGIN CALLS!?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Montana Ale Works is one of our favorites. … The Oasis in Manhattan another one as is Stacy’s (Old Faithful Bar) in Gallatin Gateway. There are many great restaurants in Bozeman.. Great brews at the Montana Ale House too
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    no brews for me. A pot belly is not on my bucket list.
    Six-pak abs baby!!

  • HD

    Good eyes Julie. Skills!
    The symmetry and levels yesterday proved significant too. b-d TL holding so far.
    Yesterday’s chart.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/40333630a3f8fa30e46d504fa5b450907d872999cae4657b0eabf96eadac7d7d.png

  • HD

    needs to trade 2770 in 1/2 time to confirm.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • Mark Shinnick

    Awesome….I was anticipating V signal any moment…then the email ๐Ÿ™‚

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    BAC A bounce YUP You guessed it … off it’s 5 ema . Above 30.27 (2nd target) is 30.98. Have not shorted yet.
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    BAC Needs a bearish close below it’s 5 ema and blue dotted down trend line to short. Again I agreed with RW yesterday of more upside Banks. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/40db4041ba71c9859261df564e38383bf39dc34233aeb3594e766fea3cf8dc79.png 2nd target BAC is 30.98 matching an upper parallel trend line of a channel drawn JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Update on “Hedgies” GVIP As you can see they are selling today and below it’s 5 ema. They sold yesterday into the advance SPX but did not close below it’s 5 ema. Also you can see that approx 2% above it’s 21 ema has usually resulted https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/1c6551804b211fc4209a2008a750a32cd3701e891157b15893b58d3e618af981.png in a pullback. Another item to note the STOCHS 10,1 fast are now 10 pts below the slow Julie does not fight the “Hedgies” but rides their coat tails . A great money maker as their has been only one false signal JULIE

  • HD

    10 handle rally, if ur a seller.

  • StockTalker

    All eyes on crude right now, very difficult to trade calypso moves but it may be on the plate ATM. Remaining short, and drooling.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • ridingwaves

    Right now they are stomping on gold-silver playas…the bleeding looks to continue, double bottom breakdown….

    though my favorite GORO still holding strong…

  • Ronebadger

    I still have a small short position from a few days ago…no gain, no loss, tight stop…I might open up the stop a bit to allow for a quick pop and drop.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    RB The decline from a possible ending diagonal can be fast
    JULIE

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    You gonna get them all wound up Julie

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Thanks for all your hard work Chief !
    JULIE

  • Ronebadger

    overdue…they are always overdue

  • BKXtoZERO

    I have a 1R TVIX position from 36.5 that I too am holding on to, like you, can see a pop to 2820 maybe but 2770 looks like a nice target to shake out all the greedy dipsters. Could also be a great place to fail bigtime. Everyone is super bullish. I hate to try to fight with Vixen….. I may have to slap her just once ๐Ÿ˜‰

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    USO At a tricky spot Pulling back today at it’s 21 ema . USO needs a bullish close above it’s 5 ema approx 14.16 and it’s baseline at 14.18. A bearish close perhaps tomorrow below today’s low will be bearish. A continued advance above today’s high and 21 ema then looking at 14.47 (conversion line 8) and or 14.51 (50% retracement) for a lower high to short. 13.66 target https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/8b4a32991c957a1d1e0039df93c46295025b90b471eea1a1f3f5989e0aedc43f.png on a decline is still on the table JULIE

  • BKXtoZERO

    Too Late!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Must get back to work Will check back at lunch time
    JULIE

  • bankwalker

    BTC now out of gas …

  • bankwalker

    and the stock indices also …

  • BKXtoZERO

    One thing Mole stresses here is no politics. I love that! I am on douche-book because….. because I guess I must also be a douche. I have a lot of friends back east. Anyway, the politics thing has just never been worse. My facebook feed was starting to look like MSM news feeds. It is amazing that people shout EVERY day… all day long… the sheer volume of posts is unbelievable that anyone had time to read all of that stuff every day, Kind of pointless….. I un-followed all political posters in a message. So far so good! : I just “un-followed” a bunch of people who post
    about 90-100% political crap. I have been focusing on life and am really
    sick of all the crap I see. I don’t watch TV news or TV period, (since
    1996) but my feed has turned into it, so….. if it gets kind of quiet
    it is because you are invisible to me. If anyone has any neat stuff to
    share, just e-mail me or better yet, call me. Thanks!

  • Mark Shinnick

    My college bus mgmt class textbook was entitled “Modern Political Economy”

  • bankwalker

    There’s a curtain on the voting booth for good reason …

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Excellent, you’re basically putting together a strict information diet.

  • BKXtoZERO

    Now I can concentrate on MKTs….. cold shower on the way before work. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/c515727f610ec70c9188e6a885c53601577b1363c0782658d1bb329da3d790b0.jpg

  • BKXtoZERO

    you need a birthday present too.

  • BKXtoZERO

    Nice 1 minute spike and reversal on ES….. some kind of news maybe… a tweet?

  • Yoda

    Miners are on the move

  • Darkthirty

    ES line chart channel gave me the reversals. 1 minute TA confirms…………..

  • Darkthirty

    Just a normal “market”…………..or stop sweep

  • Yoda
  • ridingwaves

    or normal opex rumblings….especially Thurs. for some reason….

  • ridingwaves

    someone needs to build a trump tweet algo….

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    That’s actually not too difficult. I was playing around with some python based API a while ago.

  • StockTalker

    Glitch in the Matrix

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    No!
    time management is a problemo for you.
    too many possibilities, no enough time.
    ๐Ÿ˜‰

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    Voting Sex!

    somebody’s getting bent over, and it ain’t me.

  • ridingwaves

    could it use keyword alarm script?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    my brother texted me about $Silver.
    he’s a zerohedge stacker BTW.
    must be getting close to a bottom!
    ;-D

  • Yoda

    Technical damage is done. Bucky is going down, along with USDJPY.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    one hour, does not make a trend.
    but it’s a helluva kick-off!

    https://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=DX&p=h1

  • StockTalker

    Be careful, dollar is trending.

  • ridingwaves
  • Mark Shinnick

    V signals, excellent warfare tool.

  • Yoda

    what did the text say?

  • Yoda

    too many dollars bulls out there

  • Darkthirty

    Doesn’t matter how you vote, you get fucked anyway?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Yoda UUP Double top alluded to yesterday in a 3 – 3 – 5 pattern
    JULIE

  • Yoda

    I noticed the kick-off yesterday in silver miners with good volume to boot, which was then faded. Technically we are in bouncing territory, and a strong kick-off now is a very positive development

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    CAT Still struggling with triangle breakout. If a successful breakout 146 and 148 targets JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/382d0c8e0b3d0f642225b51175534e05f8aca6d48e5673d3eea107507d89aae5.png

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    “hoping they monkey hammer it to $14 range”.
    ๐Ÿ™‚

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    you *must* be related to Picasso.

    everything’s a triangle.

    http://www.concordcarlisle.net/claflamme/wp-content/uploads/sites/23/2014/08/picasso.jpg

  • Mark Shinnick

    insy has a interesting setup I’m long since this morning.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GLD Yeah ! The positive divergences RSI and MACD alludes to an advance to the 55 ema or higher. The 55 ema intersects with the upper down trend line Go GLD Go ! UUP a possible double top in a 3 -3 -5 pattern yesterday in a reply to GG Yes ! JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/5a3ce5e3a89622e8e9d0a3f2e2bcf69c718ee1b22806863fe4f4bd3f06329f19.png

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    off to lunch!

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Yup GG Volume today is confirming But Yes GLD needs follow thru
    JULIE

  • ridingwaves

    it would make sense to levitate market with dollar depreciation at this juncture, tech is a bit overbought, commodities are still a bargain..

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    The “Hedgies” are selling out today with VOLUME ! Bulls are gonna get burned esp with the ending diagonal forming SPX Gonna Love This One Guys JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/c9bf7e6440f6f44fd7e24c0546ae64b8ac2859bf4c5cba5939a95a36c033aec0.png

  • ridingwaves

    problem is fear index is still to high, allowing bulls to trample…..tariff talk just fueling wall of worry rally…..

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    RW It can work both ways i.e. Takes bulls to make a bull market
    JULIE

  • bankwalker

    when?

  • ridingwaves

    2019 first or second qtr

  • HD

    2-10 handle rallies, weird.

  • Mark Shinnick

    Yes. fear as a value when enduring like this has usually been that wall.

  • Mark Shinnick

    “Weird” is important. Any change of character means something.

  • Darkthirty

    put a channel on them, and time them out……………

  • ridingwaves

    that tweet brought DRV back under trend line, REITS love them cheap rates…..have to juice the playas, I have to imagine Trump’s financial advisor is really good at market timing….

  • Mark Shinnick

    Yes, the 10 area was my local objective so out, this snapback will get tracked down, rebot. Its now at local support 9.42

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX Bearish close below trend line and support confirmed by MACD 3,9,16 going below it’s signal line and CCI breaking below it’s trend line with a swing failure JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/269155daf202b05b9bfc89b198ec7ab259fd036a5123e54ac14ac5724e5d0b63.png

  • Mark Shinnick

    Impressed with V signals and values. It really does not have to be terribly profitable, per-se, to still be very useful.

  • HD

    Price, pattern and time. Keep your hands at 10&2 o clock.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Anyone seen or heard from BL ? Hope he is OK …. Yoda has checked in as has Ronebadger and others
    JULIE

  • HD

    Mark, just my humble opinion. But some sellers are clearly back from vacation.

  • Darkthirty

    Future’s uncertain and the end is always near…………2802 target

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    yeah, I um….am…uh, getting a little worried.

    http://www.sfs.com.sg/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/casket2.jpg

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    I am worried to GG
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Expounding on symmetry and pattern recognition that HD points out on a consistent basis. SPX for example The June low did not make the bottom channel Perhaps the present high will fall short of the upper channel by the same amount. I always look for pattern recognition even in indicators JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/30e3cfac6d7a8679fbe2707f4da91edb47756c5fb13605b1e26c9a17c447b71a.png

  • http://www.captainboom.com/ captainboom

    He’s fine. Had an email conversation with him the past couple of weeks, with the last one a few days ago. He’s taking a break from the hustle and bustle of ES.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Thanks Captain.
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Sharon is OK she checked in recently But no Mary yet ?
    JULIE

  • bankwalker

    ABUS ready to take off …

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    USO Today a high wave candle denoting confusion pulling back from it’s 21 ema and not being able to close above it’s 5 ema and baseine (21). Only thing bullish was a higher high and higher low than yesterday A continued advance from this level targets are 14.47 – 14.51 – 14.69. A decline from this level targets 13.66 https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/13a204d20f1f409c0a9ff983e33a4aa8b07bf33c483e46ed89cde79e31e5be7a.png JULIE

  • Darkthirty

    Count the waves between channel hits……………and ignore the tails

  • http://www.linkedin.com/in/sharondsessions/ Sharon

    Doing okay. Life is a little crazy right now. Am exploring moving to Texas Aug 3rd and not Oct first week. Whew.

  • Yoda

    feels like we’re one big family

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    Man,
    EBAY!
    Yeouch. Glad I don’t have any.
    -10%
    Can you imagine being a bag holder at $46?, then doubled down at $40?!

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/21ade8b6000c581a08de6e0d96e6f316c432ee30c44d49e04cd98a873e0c468f.png

  • BKXtoZERO

    Is that what just dropped ES below 2800? He he he he

  • Ronebadger

    Julie! If you’re ever in Billings…we loved this place, gave it 5 stars…everything you want and more in a burger and beer joint. Mention Yelp and get a free pint.
    http://www.406kitchenbillings.com/

  • BKXtoZERO
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Hi RB What will I get if I mention “Ronebadger” ? LOL ! The best steak in the U.S. Land of Magic Logan MT approx 20 miles west of Bozeman on I – 90 … 5 star restaurant
    JULIE

  • http://www.linkedin.com/in/sharondsessions/ Sharon

    Thanks, GG. I am really excited to be heading back earlier than expected.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Best salmon in the U.S. Stage Coach Inn West Yellowstone MT … Salmon flown in daily… We had dinner there one evening. I ordered the salmon and during the meal I asked to see the Chef. He came marching out and asked me if there was something wrong with my dinner. Oh No ! I told him that I grew up in Portland and never had salmon this good ! He said that it was flown in daily and the difference between the Chefs on the West Coast and himself was that he knew how to cook it and they didn’t He was great !
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    View from The Land Of Magic Steakhouse … In the Gallatin Valley with the Bridger Range in background. A very beautiful setting JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/3177e23490faddebb4ce58f383341d7bc09278ad3406c74737115f7116df89b3.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Just a few miles away is Three Forks Mt where the Madison — Gallatin and Jefferson Rivers come together to form the Mighty Mo … Missouri River. Two states where the rivers flow north in the U.S. Montana and Oregon
    JULIE

  • Darkthirty

    NOBODY expects the PPT!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    This is where the Missouri River begins … The Mighty Mo .. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/665ab7d7eeed8aba2c581ac164f06c786c3f7fa108e8c884622029ce4ab520ea.png Three Forks MT Tobacco Root Mtns in background. Some of the best big game in the world Grizzlies – Moose – Mt goats – Big horn sheep It’s all there guys JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Not exactly California Guys ! How many people and houses do you see in these pictures ?
    JULIE

  • Yoda

    Yum!

  • Yoda

    Damn!

  • Yoda

    Haha. I cook a mean salmon on the BBQ.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    God’s country.

  • ridingwaves

    that is a reach ms. Montana….I would even take that bet on….he is a little proud of himself for cooking salmon? Plenty of great ways to enjoy salmon, the issue is not people don’t know how to cook salmon, they just don’t know how to cook fish and crustaceans period….even chefs…I personally never eat seafood more than 100 miles from where it’s caught..

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • randomuser6789

    Actual screenshot from Weather.com on Dec 18th, 2017 for Houston.
    76 degrees with a freeze warning. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/539bb0798307d43c381d078f2fd449d3495619aa292f4d464c662dbaaf076700.png

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    I was there last week. it’s all cows and grass, more cows and grass, oh and Trucks, lots of trucks.
    ๐Ÿ˜‰

    https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/APAAAOSwrf1ZaR2P/s-l300.jpg

  • bankwalker

    up 3.4% today …

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    that must be why ranchers build shelters.
    an animal can only take so MUCH.
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/image/7858576-3×2-940×627.jpg

  • ridingwaves

    dollar viagra pills on back order it seems, another tweet to move something…

  • Yoda

    Quiet here

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    ..when a ceiling (red arrow) becomes an intra-day support (green arrow)

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/30eb93175ebbdf3e623102042ce20dfe696525175cf26233c4639cf8397b4f40.png
    you can’t have (bear) puts and afford the premium burn.
    -GG

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • HD

    interested if/when >12

  • HD
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • BKXtoZERO

    I sold my TVIX for a measly 1.2 gain, nice spike premarket but once open, downhill… 36.5 to 37.8

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    next thousand trades. if anyone can do it, it’s BKX!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    RW You may find this interesting XLF Today’s bounce exactly off the lower cloud boundary and the conversion line (8) Needs to go above Weds. high JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/be82f42c08d7b2211832c834c73a8ca59422120921d3f4d099ae076b3a82ac5e.png

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    straight line, or curved – it’s pullback to test support.

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=XLF&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p00341442256

    edit: long if new highs, short if support fails.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    last month when Mole was calling me a ground hog…I guess we broke out of that triangle.

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/1b3b6e241869304b2daa3bf375bba8e172c155c0ea0e50f5eb54c5fd2b69e479.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG BAC on Weds high 30.29 and my 2nd target 30.27. Must get above 30.29 … It may not … If so 30.98 is my 3rd target. If not the short will be a bearish close below it’s 5 ema and the down trend line OR a failed retest of 30.29 Watching this one close GG JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/34333c8d581392ba4abf513864e69cf3c0c88b1ef822beb740439352d8a0401a.png

  • Mark Shinnick

    Wow, Mole, V objective pretty ballsy.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    it’s such a jittery instrument. not sure why you play it.

  • sutluc

    Google street view obviously does not do that place justice.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG $BKX and XLF exactly mirror the Big Dog BAC. I missed the move from 27 as stated previously a 10% move and I was watching it too …. Distraction .. Good Grief
    JULIE

  • BKXtoZERO

    yes…. depressing. I did scalp 1.3 in front of the steamroller. I can’t short these instruments but I like seeing his calls and also trend day alerts….. almost makes me feel “special”.

  • Mark Shinnick

    I really enjoy a sense of backup. It might be pessimistically viewed as a form of confirmation bias, but Mole does his homework and I know I’ve done mine.

  • Mark Shinnick

    BTW, have you ever toyed with doing your own double-slit ?

  • BKXtoZERO

    what is a double slit? actually I was just looking at FNG 3X bear ETF called FNGD

  • Mark Shinnick

    Where you can pulse photons in that classic quantum experiment. Yes…been doing some of that the other day….pretty interesting setup at that moment too.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    TTD Would like to see a pullback to lower channel ; baseline (21) or upper cloud boundary JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/ec2c0869b4b9225f485d507230ec321daafb97dfb5f97708a3fff937e0248391.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Break is over Back to work
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • HD

    Hey Bk. Check out SVXY. Inverse (short) VXX.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    it’s a slow day, so I can post this!
    mind blowing. We are in a simulation, almost guaranteed IMHO.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fwXQjRBLwsQ

  • Mark Shinnick

    Yeah, I’m funding some Tom Campbell.

  • BKXtoZERO

    no… I do what they need…. lots or boring stuff…. fix this, upgrade that, test this coating, why weren’t my parts ordered? that kind of stuff…. problem solving 1/3 science and fun and 2/3 a bunch of crap

  • BKXtoZERO

    Nice daily chart from 135 and then flat lining at 15$

  • HD

    Does that look like a short VIX option? Intraday

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    I AM ready for a state of Joy!
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogmBfwcIhug

  • HD
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    I learn from older people, and avoid mistakes.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kFJqAnQTjqM

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    He’s young, needs to get laid, can’t blame him.

  • HD

    Apparently heโ€™s running a $60/ month chat room w 2000 members. Itโ€™s not a bad biz model. Build your social media presence and monetize your base. 20k followers – so he got 10% to commit and then just pod cast, seminar, and tweet ur way to a McClaren LOL

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III
  • HD

    I drive an F 150. Ha.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    bruther of another Muther!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Newsflash ! Newsflash ! Shorting EXAS on failed https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/dfb33d8f8d0ceef9e17896fc55f1c22d7cda7461859887a0b3897d749e0cc2e8.png back test of broken channel. Initial target 64. Other targets 38.2% retracement matching the lower cloud and 50% retracement JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    the MACD *is* losing steam. wake me when it goes negative.
    ๐Ÿ˜‰

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    if he was really smart, he’d lease the car. and drop it quietly later.

    steepening depreciation curves on Nissan GTR for example
    http://www.nada.com/b2b/Portals/0/SunBlogNuke/909/6.jpg

  • HD

    From what Iโ€™ve seen that is how 90+% do it. 2 year lease for like $50k, write off as biz.

  • BKXtoZERO

    I am at work… will investigate tonight, thanks

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Speaking of Mclaren below. This guy I knew in college had a Bricklin. He buried it and filed a phony insurance claim reporting it stolen. He did not bury it deep enough and a cop stepped on the roof. He went from college to jail in one day.What a clown he was ! Never liked him in the first place !
    JULIE

  • Darkthirty

    Be careful, you might get an epiphany and understand too much…………..

  • HD

    Looks like another opportunity to keep your hands at 10&2 oโ€™clock. See if they turn the BOTs back on in a few minutes. GL

  • Darkthirty

    Looks like the 50 MA is still support

  • bankwalker

    what does that mean, HD?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    IMO Hands in the air …. Another one is the double cheek trade. i.e. sitting on both hands Have A Great Weekend Bankwalker
    JULIE

  • bankwalker

    thanks Julie. You too. Enjoy!

  • Darkthirty

    Maybe it’s just me, but I can’t find an edge. Too slow to load a lotto straddle

  • bankwalker

    sell those straddles …

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    D 30 The minor ending diagonal still on the table .. one more push higher
    JULIE

  • Darkthirty

    Weekend options expire in 2 hours…….need some action

  • Darkthirty
  • BKXtoZERO

    Straddle a bar stool is all that make sense… see you guys next week.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    D 30 I would have punched him out ! Shame on him ! I can do a chin up and push ups too !
    JULIE

  • http://www.linkedin.com/in/sharondsessions/ Sharon

    Yes, the rest of my family, kids, grandkids all own trucks. I have the only real car. Toyota Corolla. love them always buy one of them

  • Darkthirty

    Work on your suto and spear hand, fists waste too much kinetic energy

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    My husband taught me to use an open hand underneath the nose
    JULIE

  • Darkthirty

    spears are effective- left hand takes the liver, right takes the spleen. Take a lot of fight out of your opponent. best part is nobody sees the strike

  • Darkthirty

    Got a runner!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    He also taught me if someone grabs my arm or wrist to pull away in the direction of the assailant’s thumb
    JULIE

  • HD

    I literally mean take a trade at 10:00 and 2:00!

    Have a good weekend all.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX A small short probe against today’s high…Everyone Have A Great Weekend
    JULIE

  • BKXtoZERO

    Shorted FANGS via 3X reverse FANG index FNGD 23.55

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    THAT’S WHAT WORRIES ME.

    I said in my heart, โ€œI have acquired great wisdom, surpassing all who were over NYC before me, and my heart has had great experience of wisdom and knowledge.โ€ And I applied my heart to know wisdom and to know madness and folly. I perceived that this also is but a striving after wind.

  • Darkthirty

    PPT rescued the “market” last night and this morning…….see if they can hold the line

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX Candle pattern last 4 candles a Mat Hold …. Possible one more small leg up to complete the ending diagonal. Opened a very small short probe
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Back to work Everyone Have A Great Weekend
    JULIE

  • Darkthirty

    When you realize you know little, yet others know less……….. Do you assimilate with the spiritual zombies through drink, drug, and self imposed dumbing down? Or do you search for more, and leave society’s idiocy behind?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    Gold was quite the scoundrel this week.
    Hope you weren’t taken for a ride.

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/6a42a58a59462d3b1ae8f6a830d81f886e1843fcba707187f1d7dc5aa931501e.png
    -GG

  • Darkthirty
  • Darkthirty

    My Monday 2820 note is for the 23rd, 786 retrace, fib time, dead reckoning, et al

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG IBM an impulse up from the June low… Let’s watch for a corrective pullback 50% retracement matching the baseline (21) approx 144 JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/bc700547addb73f7ad67d7efc49b22b84d828e1d55fd0566bfff99fcc8424082.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    D 30 I am actually looking for one more leg up to complete the ending diagonal. Opened a very small short probe per SPX chart above. The completion of an ending diagonal i.e. subsequent decline usually is fast and furious. Pre positioning myself D 30 thanks for your contributions
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    Bigger Picture.
    Treasuries.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/7f17343e74fdc2060dda302f443e98d0233540290d7489672bd891f3d5eea7cd.png

    Yellowstone, do you know anyone who’s done the Winter tour and recommend?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Hi GG Just happen to check the blog. Yellowstone certain roads are open in winter BUT snowmobile and snow coach only no cars ; trucks etc. Now the Park Service keeps Old Faithful Lodge open and Mammoth Hot Springs Lodge.There is a snow coach from West Yellowstone to Old Faithful Lodge. Winter is a great time to visit …. The animals are at the lower elevations and on the move. September October another great time to visit . The animals are visible moving from their summer ranges to their winter ranges. Remember snow can occur from mid September on. September October usually vacations are over kids back in school etc and you can almost have the Park to yourself. Beautiful Fall colors with Fall temperatures warm days and cool nights. By warm days 65 – 70 September days. MT and WY valleys snow almost always by Halloween October 31. Spring is the worst time to visit Yellowstone i.e. Spring breakup very difficult to get around and the temps can vary within minutes. One minute raining next minute snowing five minutes later sub zero Very true what they say about a Rocky Mountain Spring
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Remember that Winter in Yellowstone can be very very cold. 20 – 30 – 40 below zero. You can dress for it .. Dry cold with beautiful snow powder . The animals with their winter dress and fur. Just beautiful to see. You will be able to see wolves unreal
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Baker’s Hole Campground is very nice … elevation approx 7,000 feet with a tremendous amount of wildlife. JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/5d4729a4057dc115e50b9e04ba8933c1ab8e290ad81eac3c7372ca6ef1b9db0d.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Baker’s Hole closes end of September. We were there last year end of August and only two other families in addition to us.September you have it all to yourself.and the animals are really on the move.
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG You are sitting at the campsite with a glass of wine …. Look across the Madison River and a Grizzly Bear is walking along the river … Unreal Too Much ! Love it !
    JULIE

  • Ivan Hrusovsky
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    HD Guys Possible breakout point failure setting up. Thursday’s breakout on low volume and then Friday’s intraday reversal. HD still holding support. A bearish close below Friday’s low will also break below a support and a lower uptrend line. Overbought daily and weekly. Initial target approx 198 matching the 50% retracement ; a lower uptrend line and both https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/05718bd6f3432d6cc426fe35c3e0d95fc9cf21e43466a42b1d87545c40ab0aac.png the 21 ema and baseline (21) JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    HD Would have been a nice long first week of July off the 34 ema and two lower trend lines oversold . You can see the importance of the 34 ema (pattern recognition)
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    HD 1.272 extension is 203.70 and Friday’s high 203.76 and the intraday reversal. HD very interesting at this level RSI and MACD negative divergences
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb

    ..watch energy this week. I think there’s potential for a crowded trade break downward,
    but eventually fail with RSI 50 as support, and rise into a third wave push into mid-Aug/Sep.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/46bf262f0f630f567542c5ad9209b33bee069b23f52df83aa39ad9063e0b719c.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG XLE Daily chart. What about buying a pullback to 73 OR the breakout above 21 ema and resistance 75.46.? Buying the breakout above 75.46 watching the upper trend line of a parallel channel drawn. Breaks above the upper channel then https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/90fd4310a5d25062207cd294f47c8649fff302f5d288714a75dff08f371d7893.png targets 77 – 79 Just Saying GG JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Miss type 75.46 not 74.46
    JULIE

  • Mark Shinnick

    That would be consistent with my model this past week.

  • Mark Shinnick
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com/ Gold_Gerb